The Baltimore Orioles (-150) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (+125) on Thursday, July 4, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Seattle, WA.
This season, the Orioles are 55-31 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 39-49 ATS.
Orioles vs Mariners Starting Pitchers Today:
- Orioles starting pitcher: Corbin Burnes 9-3, 2.28 ERA
- Mariners starting pitcher: Bryce Miller 6-7, 3.90 ERA
Orioles vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Orioles vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 55.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:
- Anthony Santander has hit the Home Runs Over in 13 of his last 32 games (+30.25 Units / 95% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 27 games (+17.40 Units / 33% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 27 games (+13.80 Units / 45% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the RBIs Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+13.05 Units / 52% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Walks Over in 13 of his last 18 away games (+12.35 Units / 69% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Luke Raley has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 13 games at home (+15.60 Units / 120% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Under in 24 of his last 35 games (+15.00 Units / 23% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Total Bases Under in 34 of his last 50 games (+12.60 Units / 18% ROI)
- Josh Rojas has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 27 games (+11.90 Units / 35% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 26 games (+10.55 Units / 37% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 45 of their last 77 games (+20.05 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 46 of their last 71 games (+17.10 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 39 games (+10.10 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 20 away games (+9.85 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 28 of their last 45 games (+8.65 Units / 16% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 43 games at home (+16.60 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 34 games at home (+11.20 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 33 of their last 55 games (+9.00 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 39 games at home (+7.40 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 34 games at home (+7.35 Units / 18% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 49-37 against the Run Line (+19.9 Units / 19.97% ROI).
- 55-31 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.2 Units / 10.81% ROI
- 43-32 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.3 Units / 8.92% ROI
- 32-43 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.55 Units / -16.53% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 39-49 against the Run Line (-15.45 Units / -13.48% ROI).
- 47-41 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.7 Units / -2.37% ROI
- 34-50 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.95 Units / -21.02% ROI
- 50-34 when betting on the total runs Under for +12.45 Units / 12.85% ROI
Mariners vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Adley Rutschman (BAL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Mariners vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
Adley Rutschman (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
Mariners vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Adley Rutschman (BAL) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Mariners vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Bryce Miller (SEA) | 4.5 -145 | 4.5 +110 |
Corbin Burnes (BAL) | 7.5 -105 | 7.5 -120 |
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Corbin Burnes has located his fastball inside 66% of the time (419/631) since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes has located his fastballs down 66% of the time (262/395) since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes has had second base stolen on him 21 times this season — most in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes has located his fastball inside 71% of the time (95/133) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 33% — 100th Percentile.
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Bryce Miller has thrown fastballs 69% of the time (461/664) against right-handed batters this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .158 (9-for-57) against Bryce Miller on low fastballs this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .257 — 94th Percentile.
Bryce Miller has allowed a slugging percentage of just .158 (9 Total Bases / 57 ABs) on low fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .375 — 100th Percentile.
Bryce Miller has thrown fastballs 69% of the time (461/664) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 49% — 98th Percentile.