The Cleveland Guardians (-115) visit Ewing M. Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-105) on Thursday, June 27, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Kansas City, MO.
This season, the Guardians are 51-27 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 46-36 ATS.
Guardians vs Royals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Guardians starting pitcher: Ben Lively 7-3, 3.05 ERA
- Royals starting pitcher: Michael Wacha 4-6, 4.09 ERA
Guardians vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Guardians vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 51.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Guardians vs Royals and all games with BetMGM
$1500 First Bet Offer
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:
- Steven Kwan has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 16 games (+37.00 Units / 231% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Runs Over in 32 of his last 44 games (+19.65 Units / 40% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the RBIs Over in 26 of his last 43 games (+15.45 Units / 35% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 18 games (+13.30 Units / 50% ROI)
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 18 games (+11.40 Units / 55% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Salvador Perez has hit the RBIs Under in 26 of his last 31 games (+18.25 Units / 37% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 23 of his last 31 games (+14.80 Units / 41% ROI)
- Maikel Garcia has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 22 games (+13.85 Units / 32% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 23 games at home (+12.50 Units / 33% ROI)
- Michael Massey has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games at home (+12.00 Units / 120% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 51 of their last 78 games (+19.97 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 50 of their last 78 games (+19.15 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 45 of their last 78 games (+17.80 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 40 of their last 64 games (+15.70 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Over in 47 of their last 78 games (+11.80 Units / 13% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 40 games at home (+12.80 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 40 games at home (+9.39 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 17 games (+9.20 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games (+7.70 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 21 of their last 40 games at home (+6.80 Units / 12% ROI)
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 45-33 against the Run Line (+17.8 Units / 18.76% ROI).
- 51-27 when betting on the Moneyline for +19.97 Units / 19.82% ROI
- 37-35 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.65 Units / -1.9% ROI
- 35-37 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.25 Units / -6.18% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 46-36 against the Run Line (+2.54 Units / 2.26% ROI).
- 44-38 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.4 Units / 6.49% ROI
- 34-44 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.4 Units / -16.15% ROI
- 44-34 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.5 Units / 7.29% ROI
Royals vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
Jhonkensy Noel (CLE) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
Hunter Renfroe (KC) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Royals vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
Jhonkensy Noel (CLE) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Daniel Schneemann (CLE) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Gabriel Arias (CLE) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Hunter Renfroe (KC) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Royals vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -140 |
Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
Jhonkensy Noel (CLE) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
Royals vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Ben Lively (CLE) | 3.5 -105 | 3.5 -125 |
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .193 against Ben Lively vs left-handed batters this season — seventh best among starting pitchers with at least 31 total IP– 93rd Percentile. Left handed batters hit .296 (55-for-186) against him last season — 10th worst among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP– 10th Percentile.
Opponents have a first pitch chase rate of just 9% (27/294) against Ben Lively since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 95 total IP; League Avg: 16% — 0 Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 17% (44/254) against Ben Lively this season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 31 total IP; League Avg: 25% — fourth Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 18% (135/737) against Ben Lively in non-two strike counts since last season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 95 total IP; League Avg: 25% — thir d Percentile.
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Michael Wacha has thrown his changeup 49% of the time (503/1,034) with two-strikes since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 95 total CH; League Avg: 16% — 98th Percentile.
Michael Wacha has thrown his changeup 48% of the time (790/1,632) with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 160 total CH; League Avg: 16% — 99th Percentile.
Michael Wacha has allowed an OPS of just .542 (333 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 95 total IP; League Avg: .706 — 97th Percentile.
Michael Wacha has thrown his changeup 50% of the time (167/336) with two-strikes this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 31 total CH; League Avg: 17% — 100th Percentile.