The Cleveland Guardians (+155) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-190) on Wednesday, June 26, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:35pm EDT in Baltimore, MD.
This season, the Guardians are 51-26 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 45-34 ATS.
Guardians vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:
- Guardians starting pitcher: Carlos Carrasco 3-6, 5.40 ERA
- Orioles starting pitcher: Grayson Rodriguez 8-3, 3.84 ERA
Guardians vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Guardians vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 59.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:
- Steven Kwan has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 15 games (+38.00 Units / 253% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Runs Over in 32 of his last 43 games (+20.65 Units / 42% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the RBIs Over in 26 of his last 42 games (+16.45 Units / 39% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 17 games (+14.85 Units / 59% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Hits Over in 25 of his last 42 games (+11.30 Units / 17% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Anthony Santander has hit the Home Runs Over in 13 of his last 31 games (+31.25 Units / 101% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 16 games at home (+15.95 Units / 53% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the RBIs Over in 15 of his last 24 games (+14.05 Units / 59% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 26 games (+12.80 Units / 43% ROI)
- Ryan O’Hearn has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+12.00 Units / 40% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 51 of their last 77 games (+20.97 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 45 of their last 77 games (+18.90 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 49 of their last 77 games (+18.15 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 39 of their last 63 games (+14.35 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Over in 47 of their last 77 games (+12.85 Units / 14% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 41 of their last 70 games (+18.45 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 41 of their last 64 games (+14.80 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 32 games (+9.30 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 22 of their last 34 games at home (+8.85 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 21 of their last 32 games at home (+7.70 Units / 16% ROI)
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 45-32 against the Run Line (+18.9 Units / 20.15% ROI).
- 51-26 when betting on the Moneyline for +20.97 Units / 21.02% ROI
- 37-34 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.5 Units / -0.58% ROI
- 34-37 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.25 Units / -7.44% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 45-34 against the Run Line (+18.3 Units / 19.95% ROI).
- 49-30 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.6 Units / 7.73% ROI
- 40-28 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.6 Units / 11.22% ROI
- 28-40 when betting on the total runs Under for -16.1 Units / -18.7% ROI
Orioles vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -650 |
Orioles vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Tyler Freeman (CLE) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
Andres Gimenez (CLE) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
Will Brennan (CLE) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
Jorge Mateo (BAL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
Orioles vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -135 |
Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -155 |
Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
Orioles vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Grayson Rodriguez (BAL) | 4.5 -150 | 4.5 +115 |
Carlos Carrasco (CLE) | 3.5 +100 | 3.5 -135 |
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Carlos Carrasco has allowed a slugging percentage of .735 (122 Total Bases / 166 ABs) on inside fastballs since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 160 total IP; League Avg: .429 — 0 Percentile.
Carlos Carrasco has allowed an OPS of .927 (457 PA’s) versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 95 total IP; League Avg: .709 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .386 (64-for-166) against Carlos Carrasco’s inside fastball since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 160 total IP; League Avg: .260 — 0 Percentile.
Carlos Carrasco has allowed a slugging percentage of .605 (95 Total Bases / 157 ABs) on elevated fastballs since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 160 total IP; League Avg: .381 — 0 Percentile.
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Grayson Rodriguez has struck out 40% (19/47) of left-handed batters he faced this month (4 games) — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 21% — 96th Percentile.
Grayson Rodriguez has struck out just 9% (5/54) of right-handed batters he faced this month (4 games) — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — second Percentile.
Grayson Rodriguez has a first-pitch strike rate of 83% (45/54) — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .439 (43-for-98) against Grayson Rodriguez on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 95 total IP; League Avg: .345 — fourth Percentile.