The Washington Nationals (+180) visit Petco Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-225) on Monday, June 24, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in San Diego, CA.

This season, the Nationals are 38-39 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 41-41 ATS.

Nationals vs Padres Starting Pitchers Today:

• Nationals starting pitcher: Patrick Corbin 1-7, 5.63 ERA
• Padres starting pitcher: Matt Waldron 5-6, 3.47 ERA

Nationals vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Nationals vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Monday‘s MLB game with 67.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:

• Lane Thomas has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 games (+12.70 Units / 141% ROI)
• Luis Garcia has hit the Hits Under in 30 of his last 43 games (+12.45 Units / 15% ROI)
• Lane Thomas has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+10.60 Units / 58% ROI)
• Jesse Winker has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+10.25 Units / 40% ROI)
• Ildemaro Vargas has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 13 away games (+9.70 Units / 63% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Jackson Merrill has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 11 games (+40.30 Units / 366% ROI)
• Jake Cronenworth has hit the Runs Under in 31 of his last 42 games (+14.40 Units / 21% ROI)
• Jackson Merrill has hit the RBIs Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+13.70 Units / 91% ROI)
• Kyle Higashioka has hit the Singles Under in 23 of his last 28 games (+13.50 Units / 23% ROI)
• Jackson Merrill has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 19 games at home (+11.35 Units / 28% ROI)

Nationals Best Bets Today:

• The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 43 of their last 69 games (+16.65 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 69 games (+16.10 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 16 away games (+8.10 Units / 41% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 39 of their last 71 games (+8.05 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 38 away games (+7.65 Units / 19% ROI)

Padres Best Bets Today:

• The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+7.80 Units / 66% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+5.85 Units / 53% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 50 games (+5.75 Units / 9% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 15 games at home (+5.55 Units / 24% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+3.80 Units / 33% ROI)

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 46-31 against the Run Line (+12.73 Units / 12.93% ROI).

• 38-39 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.85 Units / 15.9% ROI
• 33-40 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.7 Units / -12.7% ROI
• 40-33 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.53 Units / 4.15% ROI

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Padres are 41-41 against the Run Line (+2.65 Units / 2.65% ROI).

• 41-41 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.6 Units / -8.03% ROI
• 42-39 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.6 Units / -0.67% ROI
• 39-42 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.35 Units / -8.1% ROI

Padres vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Padres vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Padres vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today

Padres vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting .313 (200-for-638) against Patrick Corbin when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .230 — third Percentile.

Patrick Corbin has allowed a slugging percentage of .489 (312 Total Bases / 638 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .375 — third Percentile.

Patrick Corbin has allowed a slugging percentage of .490 (299 Total Bases / 610 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .382 — third Percentile.

Patrick Corbin has allowed an OBP of .362 (693 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .286 — fourth Percentile.

Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Matt Waldron has allowed an OPS of just .336 (99 PA’s) versus the bottom of the order this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .623 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .062 (2-for-32) against Matt Waldron when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (4 games) — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .239 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 29% (18/62) against Matt Waldron on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 94 total IP; League Avg: 44% — 99th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 19% (19/101) against Matt Waldron on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 7th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — ninth Percentile.

Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

  
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