The Philadelphia Phillies (-175) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (+145) on Monday, June 24, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Detroit, MI.

This season, the Phillies are 51-26 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 35-42 ATS.

Phillies vs Tigers Starting Pitchers Today:

• Phillies starting pitcher: Aaron Nola 8-3, 3.58 ERA
• Tigers starting pitcher: Casey Mize 1-5, 4.42 ERA

Phillies vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Phillies vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Monday‘s MLB game with 64.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:

• Trea Turner has hit the Singles Over in 29 of his last 37 games (+20.10 Units / 45% ROI)
• Trea Turner has hit the RBIs Under in 28 of his last 34 games (+16.90 Units / 26% ROI)
• Nick Castellanos has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 24 away games (+15.00 Units / 62% ROI)
• Cristian Pache has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 23 games (+12.20 Units / 45% ROI)
• Trea Turner has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 31 games (+11.75 Units / 27% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Matt Vierling has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 12 games at home (+22.10 Units / 184% ROI)
• Matt Vierling has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+13.80 Units / 47% ROI)
• Riley Greene has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 22 games (+12.15 Units / 44% ROI)
• Colt Keith has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 29 of his last 44 games (+11.10 Units / 20% ROI)
• Gio Urshela has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+10.60 Units / 33% ROI)

Phillies Best Bets Today:

• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 42 of their last 62 games (+22.25 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 42 of their last 60 games (+21.05 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 40 of their last 59 games (+18.40 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 43 of their last 61 games (+17.05 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Over in 39 of their last 60 games (+14.80 Units / 20% ROI)

Tigers Best Bets Today:

• The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 35 of their last 60 games (+9.60 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 22 games (+8.35 Units / 34% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 25 games at home (+7.75 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 47 games (+7.35 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 25 games at home (+4.90 Units / 17% ROI)

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 42-35 against the Run Line (+7 Units / 7.55% ROI).

• 51-26 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.6 Units / 10.7% ROI
• 33-39 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.15 Units / -11.96% ROI
• 39-33 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.45 Units / 2.9% ROI

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 35-42 against the Run Line (-11.6 Units / -11.22% ROI).

• 36-41 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.15 Units / -9.09% ROI
• 40-31 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.7 Units / 6.99% ROI
• 31-40 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.05 Units / -16.02% ROI

Tigers vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Tigers vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Tigers vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today

Tigers vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Aaron Nola has thrown his curveball 36% of the time (301/840) when he’s behind in the count since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 94 total CB; League Avg: 10% — 99th Percentile.

Aaron Nola has thrown his curveball 43% of the time (199/459) with two-strikes this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 18% — 97th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .130 (15 GB hits out of 115 GBs) against Aaron Nola this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .236 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .192 (129-for-671) against Aaron Nola when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .230 — 96th Percentile.

Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Casey Mize has a strikeout rate of just 8% (3 SO in 36 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (4 games) — tied for lowest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 24% — third Percentile.

Casey Mize has a strikeout rate of just 25% (12 SO in 48 PAs) with two-strikes this month (4 games) — 2nd lowest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 40% — third Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% (19/92) against Casey Mize on low breaking pitches this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: 40% — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .293 (12-for-41) against Casey Mize with two-strikes this month (4 games) — tied for 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .172 — fourth Percentile.

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

  
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