The Boston Red Sox (+140) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (-165) on Sunday, June 23, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40pm EDT in Cincinnati, OH.
This season, the Red Sox are 41-36 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 43-33 ATS.
Red Sox vs Reds Starting Pitchers Today:
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Zack Kelly 2-1, 1.76 ERA
- Reds starting pitcher: Nick Lodolo 8-2, 2.80 ERA
Red Sox vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Red Sox vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Reds will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 56.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- player high – away
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- player high – home
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 36 away games (+8.50 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 34 games (+6.90 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 23 of their last 38 games (+5.70 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 36 away games (+5.15 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 39 of their last 77 games (+4.80 Units / 5% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 38 of their last 60 games (+17.00 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 24 games at home (+13.50 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 35 of their last 58 games (+10.50 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 24 of their last 36 games at home (+9.80 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 26 games (+7.40 Units / 24% ROI)
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 36-41 against the Run Line (-11.2 Units / -10.76% ROI).
- 41-36 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.95 Units / 2.1% ROI
- 34-39 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.25 Units / -9.76% ROI
- 39-34 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.95 Units / 2.29% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 43-33 against the Run Line (+6.65 Units / 6.52% ROI).
- 36-40 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.95 Units / -4.49% ROI
- 31-42 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.7 Units / -18.72% ROI
- 42-31 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.65 Units / 9.16% ROI
Reds vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler O'Neill (BOS) | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -350 |
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Jeimer Candelario (CIN) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Reds vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jarren Duran (BOS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Jeimer Candelario (CIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| TJ Friedl (CIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Rob Refsnyder (BOS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Jonathan India (CIN) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Reds vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -150 |
| Jeimer Candelario (CIN) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Tyler O'Neill (BOS) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Jonathan India (CIN) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Reds vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Lodolo (CIN) | 7.5 -105 | 7.5 -120 |
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed batters are hitting just .100 (5-for-50) against Zack Kelly this season — best among AL Relievers; League Avg: .232 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .125 (11-for-88) against Zack Kelly this season — 2nd best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .230 — 99th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .082 (5-for-61) against Zack Kelly with two-strikes this season — 5th best among AL Relievers; League Avg: .160 — 95th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .125 (11-for-88) against Zack Kelly this season — best among AL Relievers; League Avg: .225 — 100th Percentile.
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Nick Lodolo has spotted his fastball inside for a strike just 55% (405/743) of the time since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 159 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .167 (5-for-30) against Nick Lodolo on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 29 total IP; League Avg: .331 — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 33% (242/743) against Nick Lodolo on inside fastballs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 159 total IP; League Avg: 49% — 0 Percentile.
Nick Lodolo has thrown inside pitches 43% of the time (140/324) with two-strikes this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 29 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 97th Percentile.