The Atlanta Braves (+120) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-145) on Saturday, June 22, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in New York City, NY.

This season, the Braves are 42-31 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 45-33 ATS.

Braves vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:

• Braves starting pitcher: Charlie Morton 4-3, 4.00 ERA
• Yankees starting pitcher: Marcus Stroman 6-3, 3.09 ERA

Braves vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Braves vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 53.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:

• Orlando Arcia has hit the Runs Under in 24 of his last 27 games (+19.20 Units / 38% ROI)
• Adam Duvall has hit the Total Bases Under in 30 of his last 42 games (+16.75 Units / 30% ROI)
• Orlando Arcia has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 34 of his last 49 games (+15.95 Units / 25% ROI)
• Orlando Arcia has hit the Singles Under in 33 of his last 48 games (+14.30 Units / 23% ROI)
• Austin Riley has hit the RBIs Under in 36 of his last 48 games (+14.15 Units / 17% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Jose Trevino has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 games (+20.70 Units / 345% ROI)
• Aaron Judge has hit the Runs Over in 34 of his last 43 games (+20.65 Units / 34% ROI)
• Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 30 of his last 43 games (+16.35 Units / 33% ROI)
• Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Over in 32 of his last 43 games (+16.15 Units / 19% ROI)
• Aaron Judge has hit the Total Bases Over in 27 of his last 42 games (+11.60 Units / 24% ROI)

Braves Best Bets Today:

• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 40 of their last 59 games (+21.20 Units / 32% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 23 of their last 32 away games (+12.04 Units / 30% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 25 away games (+8.55 Units / 30% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.80 Units / 49% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 8 games (+3.60 Units / 39% ROI)

Yankees Best Bets Today:

• The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 30 of their last 44 games (+20.20 Units / 39% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 32 of their last 44 games (+19.45 Units / 36% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 37 of their last 55 games (+17.19 Units / 26% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 31 of their last 47 games (+15.40 Units / 22% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 51 of their last 78 games (+12.95 Units / 11% ROI)

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Braves are 35-38 against the Run Line (-2.65 Units / -3.15% ROI).

• 42-31 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.35 Units / -5.79% ROI
• 27-43 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.65 Units / -24.66% ROI
• 43-27 when betting on the total runs Under for +13.35 Units / 16.48% ROI

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 45-33 against the Run Line (+16.5 Units / 17.67% ROI).

• 51-27 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.95 Units / 11.29% ROI
• 38-38 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.85 Units / -4.48% ROI
• 38-38 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.7 Units / -4.31% ROI

Yankees vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yankees vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Yankees vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today

Yankees vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 43% of the time (307/706) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 17% — 100th Percentile.

Charlie Morton has walked 44 of 383 batters (12%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — third Percentile.

Charlie Morton has walked 67 of 662 batters (10%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — fourth Percentile.

Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 40% of the time (120/303) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 15% — 100th Percentile.

Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Marcus Stroman has located his fastballs down 56% of the time (310/558) this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.

Marcus Stroman has a strike rate of just 60% (846/1,414) this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.

Marcus Stroman has a strike rate of just 58% (235/405) in two strike counts this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — second Percentile.

Marcus Stroman has a strike rate of just 51% (250/490) when ahead in the count this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 61% — fourth Percentile.

Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

  
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