The Toronto Blue Jays (+115) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-140) on Saturday, June 22, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Cleveland, OH.

This season, the Blue Jays are 35-40 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 42-31 ATS.

Blue Jays vs Guardians Starting Pitchers Today:

• Blue Jays starting pitcher: Jose Berrios 6-5, 3.16 ERA
• Guardians starting pitcher: Ben Lively 6-3, 3.04 ERA

Blue Jays vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Blue Jays vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 52.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:

• Isiah Kiner-Falefa has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 28 games (+14.60 Units / 25% ROI)
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Singles Over in 32 of his last 46 games (+14.20 Units / 24% ROI)
• Isiah Kiner-Falefa has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 14 away games (+12.00 Units / 86% ROI)
• Isiah Kiner-Falefa has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 21 games (+11.50 Units / 26% ROI)
• Daulton Varsho has hit the RBIs Under in 13 of his last 14 games (+10.65 Units / 30% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Jose Ramirez has hit the Home Runs Over in 14 of his last 49 games (+30.10 Units / 61% ROI)
• Jose Ramirez has hit the Runs Over in 28 of his last 39 games (+16.65 Units / 38% ROI)
• Jose Ramirez has hit the RBIs Over in 28 of his last 50 games (+14.25 Units / 28% ROI)
• Andres Gimenez has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 24 games (+11.25 Units / 39% ROI)
• Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 13 games (+10.85 Units / 58% ROI)

Blue Jays Best Bets Today:

• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 45 of their last 74 games (+13.95 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 33 away games (+8.85 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 18 away games (+6.70 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 away games (+4.75 Units / 30% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 17 away games (+3.85 Units / 16% ROI)

Guardians Best Bets Today:

• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 47 of their last 73 games (+16.62 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 42 of their last 73 games (+16.45 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 46 of their last 73 games (+16.15 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 36 of their last 59 games (+12.35 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Over in 44 of their last 73 games (+11.00 Units / 13% ROI)

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 33-42 against the Run Line (-15.3 Units / -15.61% ROI).

• 35-40 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.5 Units / -12.55% ROI
• 32-41 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.25 Units / -16.11% ROI
• 41-32 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.4 Units / 6.53% ROI

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 42-31 against the Run Line (+16.45 Units / 18.63% ROI).

• 47-26 when betting on the Moneyline for +16.62 Units / 17.47% ROI
• 35-33 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.4 Units / -1.73% ROI
• 33-35 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.15 Units / -6.47% ROI

Guardians vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Guardians vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Guardians vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today

Guardians vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting .346 (18-for-52) against Jose Berrios’ elevated fastball this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .207 — first Percentile.

Jose Berrios allowed a batting average of .288 vs right-handed batters (fifth worst)– sixth Percentile and just .194 vs left-handed batters this season (sixth best among qualified SPs)– 91st Percentile.

Jose Berrios allowed a batting average of .288 vs right-handed batters (13th worst)– 12th Percentile and just .194 vs left-handed batters this season (seventh best among non-qualified SPs)– 93rd Percentile.

Jose Berrios has a strikeout rate of just 10% (7 SO in 73 PAs) this month (3 games) — lowest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 22% — second Percentile.

Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a first pitch chase rate of just 9% (26/287) against Ben Lively since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 94 total IP; League Avg: 16% — 0 Percentile.

Ben Lively has an average spin rate of 1998.9 RPM on sliders since last season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 94 total IP; League Avg: 2412.8 — third Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 29% (67/229) against Ben Lively since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 94 total IP; League Avg: 24% — second Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of just 19% (152/782) against Ben Lively in non-two strike counts since last season — 12th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 94 total IP; League Avg: 23% — eighth Percentile.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians

  
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