Orioles vs Astros Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun. 22
Orioles vs Astros Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun. 22

The Baltimore Orioles (-155) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (+125) on Saturday, June 22, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Houston, TX.

This season, the Orioles are 49-26 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 34-42 ATS.

Orioles vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Orioles starting pitcher: Corbin Burnes 8-2, 2.14 ERA
  • Astros starting pitcher: Ronel Blanco 7-2, 2.45 ERA

Orioles vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Orioles vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 58.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Anthony Santander has hit the Home Runs Over in 12 of his last 27 games (+30.80 Units / 114% ROI)
  • Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 22 games (+18.15 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Gunnar Henderson has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 22 games (+13.50 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Anthony Santander has hit the Runs Over in 18 of his last 27 games (+13.25 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Anthony Santander has hit the RBIs Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+13.20 Units / 66% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 21 games (+18.20 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Jeremy Pena has hit the Total Bases Under in 21 of his last 24 games (+16.70 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Jeremy Pena has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 23 games (+15.20 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Jeremy Pena has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+14.10 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Alex Bregman has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 19 games at home (+12.50 Units / 66% ROI)

  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 41 of their last 66 games (+22.45 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 40 of their last 60 games (+17.60 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 16 away games (+11.90 Units / 64% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 28 games (+10.70 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 22 of their last 34 games (+8.60 Units / 21% ROI)

  • The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 38 of their last 59 games (+17.05 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 24 games at home (+5.80 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 42 of their last 76 games (+5.80 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 31 of their last 55 games (+3.80 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.60 Units / 36% ROI)

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 45-30 against the Run Line (+22.3 Units / 25.41% ROI).

  • 49-26 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.8 Units / 13.01% ROI
  • 38-26 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.8 Units / 12.09% ROI
  • 26-38 when betting on the total runs Under for -16 Units / -19.56% ROI

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Astros are 34-42 against the Run Line (-7.35 Units / -8.13% ROI).

  • 36-40 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.7 Units / -15.52% ROI
  • 27-46 when betting on the total runs Over for -23.05 Units / -27.79% ROI
  • 46-27 when betting on the total runs Under for +16.2 Units / 19.21% ROI

Astros vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Gunnar Henderson (BAL) 0.5 +310 0.5 -400
Anthony Santander (BAL) 0.5 +333 0.5 -450
Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Adley Rutschman (BAL) 0.5 +425 0.5 -600
Yordan Alvarez (HOU) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650

Astros vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Jordan Westburg (BAL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Mauricio Dubon (HOU) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Yainer Diaz (HOU) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190

Astros vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Anthony Santander (BAL) 0.5 +145 0.5 -190
Gunnar Henderson (BAL) 0.5 +145 0.5 -190
Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) 0.5 +155 0.5 -200
Yainer Diaz (HOU) 0.5 +165 0.5 -225

Corbin Burnes has located his fastballs down 74% of the time (80/108) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.

Corbin Burnes has located his fastball inside 71% of the time (77/108) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.

Corbin Burnes has located his fastballs down 66% of the time (244/370) since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.

Corbin Burnes has located his fastballs down 65% of the time (395/606) since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.

Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Right-handed batters are hitting just .159 (22-for-138) against Ronel Blanco this season — tied for 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .235 — 98th Percentile.

Left-handed batters are hitting just .167 (22-for-132) against Ronel Blanco this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .239 — 98th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 41% (38/92) against Ronel Blanco on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .163 (44-for-270) against Ronel Blanco this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .237 — 100th Percentile.

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

  
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