The Washington Nationals (-115) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (-105) on Friday, June 21, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:40pm EDT in Denver, CO.

This season, the Nationals are 36-38 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 36-39 ATS.

Nationals vs Rockies Starting Pitchers Today:

• Nationals starting pitcher: Davidjohn Herz 1-1, 3.77 ERA
• Rockies starting pitcher: Dakota Hudson 2-9, 4.89 ERA

Nationals vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Nationals vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Nationals will win Friday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:

• Lane Thomas has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 6 games (+15.70 Units / 262% ROI)
• Jesse Winker has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 20 of his last 29 games (+12.80 Units / 39% ROI)
• Lane Thomas has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 22 away games (+12.70 Units / 37% ROI)
• Jesse Winker has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 23 games (+12.65 Units / 54% ROI)
• Luis Garcia has hit the Hits Under in 28 of his last 40 games (+12.25 Units / 15% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 35 games (+12.60 Units / 36% ROI)
• Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Total Bases Over in 24 of his last 38 games (+11.25 Units / 25% ROI)
• Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 17 games (+10.05 Units / 56% ROI)
• Charlie Blackmon has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 30 games (+9.15 Units / 20% ROI)
• Dakota Hudson has hit the Hits Allowed Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+8.50 Units / 56% ROI)

Nationals Best Bets Today:

• The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 42 of their last 66 games (+17.45 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 66 games (+15.20 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 38 of their last 68 games (+9.25 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 35 away games (+9.15 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 13 away games (+7.35 Units / 46% ROI)

Rockies Best Bets Today:

• The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 20 of their last 39 games (+11.40 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 39 games (+8.85 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 20 of their last 33 games (+6.40 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 40 games (+5.25 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 25 of their last 45 games (+4.70 Units / 9% ROI)

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 45-29 against the Run Line (+13.53 Units / 14.18% ROI).

• 36-38 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.95 Units / 15.5% ROI
• 31-39 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.55 Units / -14.27% ROI
• 39-31 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.73 Units / 5.78% ROI

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 36-39 against the Run Line (-10.35 Units / -11.34% ROI).

• 26-49 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.05 Units / -8.13% ROI
• 38-35 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.45 Units / -0.55% ROI
• 35-38 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.8 Units / -8.34% ROI

Rockies vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Rockies vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Rockies vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today

Rockies vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a miss rate of 35% (28/81) against Davidjohn Herz on pitches in the strike zone this month (3 games) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 16% — 100th Percentile.

Hitters have swung at 45% of Davidjohn Herz’s pitches (38/84) with two-strikes this month (3 games) — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 60% — 0 Percentile.

Davidjohn Herz has allowed no extra-base hits in his last 11.0 innings pitched — Justin Martinez has the longest active streak at 20.2.

Opponents have a miss rate of 37% (42/114) against Davidjohn Herz this month (3 games) — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 98th Percentile.

Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting .537 (22-for-41) against Dakota Hudson on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .332 — first Percentile.

Dakota Hudson has a strikeout rate of just 10% (12 SO in 126 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — first Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a chase rate of just 17% (50/301) against Dakota Hudson this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — first Percentile.

Dakota Hudson has a strikeout rate of just 13% (41 SO in 325 PAs) this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.

Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

  
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