Orioles vs Astros Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun. 21
Orioles vs Astros Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun. 21

The Baltimore Orioles (-155) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (+125) on Friday, June 21, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Houston, TX.

This season, the Orioles are 49-25 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 33-42 ATS.

Orioles vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Orioles starting pitcher: Grayson Rodriguez 8-2, 3.22 ERA
  • Astros starting pitcher: Jake Bloss 0-0, 0.00 ERA

Orioles vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Orioles vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Friday‘s MLB game with 60.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Anthony Santander has hit the Home Runs Over in 11 of his last 26 games (+27.10 Units / 104% ROI)
  • Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 21 games (+16.25 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Gunnar Henderson has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 21 games (+12.50 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Anthony Santander has hit the Runs Over in 17 of his last 26 games (+12.15 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Anthony Santander has hit the RBIs Over in 12 of his last 19 games (+11.80 Units / 62% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 20 games (+17.20 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Jeremy Pena has hit the Total Bases Under in 21 of his last 24 games (+16.70 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Jeremy Pena has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 23 games (+15.20 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Jeremy Pena has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+14.10 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Alex Bregman has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 18 games at home (+13.50 Units / 75% ROI)

  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 41 of their last 65 games (+23.45 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 40 of their last 59 games (+18.75 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 27 games (+12.20 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 15 away games (+10.90 Units / 62% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 28 games (+9.55 Units / 23% ROI)

  • The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 38 of their last 58 games (+18.20 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 42 of their last 75 games (+6.90 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 23 games at home (+4.80 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 31 of their last 54 games (+4.80 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+1.55 Units / 16% ROI)

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 45-29 against the Run Line (+23.3 Units / 26.86% ROI).

  • 49-25 when betting on the Moneyline for +15.3 Units / 14.63% ROI
  • 37-26 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.8 Units / 11% ROI
  • 26-37 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.85 Units / -18.41% ROI

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Astros are 33-42 against the Run Line (-8.35 Units / -9.36% ROI).

  • 35-40 when betting on the Moneyline for -18 Units / -16.89% ROI
  • 26-46 when betting on the total runs Over for -24.05 Units / -29.37% ROI
  • 46-26 when betting on the total runs Under for +17.35 Units / 20.85% ROI

Astros vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Gunnar Henderson (BAL) 0.5 +333 0.5 -450
Yordan Alvarez (HOU) 0.5 +350 0.5 -450
Anthony Santander (BAL) 0.5 +350 0.5 -450
Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) 0.5 +425 0.5 -650
Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) 0.5 +475 0.5 -650

Astros vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Yainer Diaz (HOU) 0.5 -275 0.5 +210
Adley Rutschman (BAL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Jeremy Pena (HOU) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Alex Bregman (HOU) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Yordan Alvarez (HOU) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170

Astros vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Anthony Santander (BAL) 0.5 +135 0.5 -175
Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) 0.5 +140 0.5 -185
Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) 0.5 +140 0.5 -190
Gunnar Henderson (BAL) 0.5 +140 0.5 -190
Yordan Alvarez (HOU) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200

Astros vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Grayson Rodriguez (BAL) 5.5 -120 5.5 -110

Opponents have a line drive rate of 43% (16/37) against Grayson Rodriguez with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.

Grayson Rodriguez has allowed an OBP of just .091 (44 PA’s) with two-strikes this month (3 games) — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .247 — 100th Percentile.

Grayson Rodriguez has allowed an OBP of just .091 (44 PA’s) with two-strikes this month (3 games) — best among among AL Starters; League Avg: .244 — 100th Percentile.

Grayson Rodriguez has struck out just 10% (4/39) of right-handed batters he faced this month (3 games) — 2nd lowest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 22% — fourth Percentile.

Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

No Matchup notes for this Game

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

  
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