The Milwaukee Brewers (-120) visit Petco Park to take on the San Diego Padres (+100) on Thursday, June 20, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in San Diego, CA.

This season, the Brewers are 44-30 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 38-40 ATS.

Brewers vs Padres Starting Pitchers Today:

• Brewers starting pitcher: Bryse Wilson 4-3, 3.84 ERA
• Padres starting pitcher: Adam Mazur 0-2, 7.82 ERA

Brewers vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Brewers vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 51.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:

• Willy Adames has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 19 away games (+14.55 Units / 51% ROI)
• Willy Adames has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 19 away games (+13.40 Units / 61% ROI)
• Brice Turang has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 10 away games (+10.00 Units / 100% ROI)
• Willy Adames has hit the RBIs Under in 18 of his last 23 away games (+9.70 Units / 22% ROI)
• Rhys Hoskins has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.60 Units / 53% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Jackson Merrill has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 7 games (+29.50 Units / 421% ROI)
• Jurickson Profar has hit the Hits Over in 39 of his last 50 games (+19.25 Units / 19% ROI)
• Jake Cronenworth has hit the Runs Under in 30 of his last 38 games (+17.75 Units / 28% ROI)
• Jurickson Profar has hit the Singles Over in 34 of his last 50 games (+16.25 Units / 28% ROI)
• Manny Machado has hit the RBIs Under in 22 of his last 25 games at home (+15.90 Units / 33% ROI)

Brewers Best Bets Today:

• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 44 of their last 74 games (+12.60 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 43 of their last 74 games (+8.00 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 29 away games (+6.25 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 46 games (+6.25 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 29 away games (+5.65 Units / 16% ROI)

Padres Best Bets Today:

• The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 23 of their last 37 games at home (+6.45 Units / 14% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 34 games at home (+6.05 Units / 15% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 24 games (+5.35 Units / 20% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+4.10 Units / 55% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games at home (+3.95 Units / 22% ROI)

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 39-35 against the Run Line (+1 Units / 1.01% ROI).

• 44-30 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.6 Units / 13.7% ROI
• 38-32 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.4 Units / 4.2% ROI
• 32-38 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.75 Units / -11.91% ROI

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Padres are 38-40 against the Run Line (+0.3 Units / 0.32% ROI).

• 38-40 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.2 Units / -10% ROI
• 38-39 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.6 Units / -5.38% ROI
• 39-38 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.85 Units / -3.3% ROI

Padres vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Padres vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Padres vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today

Padres vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a miss rate of just 20% (200/1,025) against Bryse Wilson since last season — 3rd lowest among NL Relievers; League Avg: 28% — third Percentile.

Bryse Wilson has allowed an OBP of just .242 (335 PA’s) against right-handed batters since last season — 3rd best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .304 — 97th Percentile.

Bryse Wilson has a strikeout rate of just 23% (26 SO in 113 PAs) on low non-fastballs since last season — tied for 7th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 38% — fifth Percentile.

Bryse Wilson has a strikeout rate of just 38% (111 SO in 289 PAs) with two-strikes since last season — 7th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 45% — seventh Percentile.

Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Adam Mazur has walked 10 of 32 left-handed batters (31%) this month (3 games) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.

Adam Mazur has walked 13 of 61 batters (21%) this month (3 games) — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.

Adam Mazur has allowed an OBP of .594 (32 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this month (3 games) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: .325 — first Percentile.

Adam Mazur has struck out just 3% (1/32) of left-handed batters he faced this month (3 games) — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: 20% — first Percentile.

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

  
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