Orioles vs Yankees Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun. 20
Orioles vs Yankees Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun. 20

The Baltimore Orioles (+125) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-150) on Thursday, June 20, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in New York City, NY.

This season, the Orioles are 48-25 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 45-31 ATS.

Orioles vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Orioles starting pitcher: Cole Irvin 6-3, 3.00 ERA
  • Yankees starting pitcher: Luis Gil 9-1, 2.03 ERA

Orioles vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Orioles vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 54.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Anthony Santander has hit the Home Runs Over in 10 of his last 25 games (+23.40 Units / 94% ROI)
  • Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+15.25 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Gunnar Henderson has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+11.25 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Anthony Santander has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+10.85 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Anthony Santander has hit the RBIs Over in 11 of his last 18 games (+10.10 Units / 56% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Jose Trevino has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+22.70 Units / 568% ROI)
  • Aaron Judge has hit the Runs Over in 33 of his last 41 games (+20.70 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 29 of his last 41 games (+16.50 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Over in 31 of his last 41 games (+16.05 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Aaron Judge has hit the Total Bases Over in 26 of his last 40 games (+11.60 Units / 26% ROI)

  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 40 of their last 64 games (+22.45 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 39 of their last 58 games (+17.70 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 26 games (+10.75 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 14 away games (+9.90 Units / 61% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 18 games (+7.90 Units / 33% ROI)

  • The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 30 of their last 42 games (+23.00 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 32 of their last 42 games (+22.20 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 31 of their last 45 games (+18.35 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 36 of their last 53 games (+17.49 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 51 of their last 76 games (+15.70 Units / 14% ROI)

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 44-29 against the Run Line (+22.3 Units / 26.14% ROI).

  • 48-25 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.85 Units / 13.38% ROI
  • 36-26 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.8 Units / 9.89% ROI
  • 26-36 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.75 Units / -17.28% ROI

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 45-31 against the Run Line (+19.3 Units / 21.3% ROI).

  • 51-25 when betting on the Moneyline for +15.7 Units / 14.02% ROI
  • 36-38 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.85 Units / -6.99% ROI
  • 38-36 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.5 Units / -1.79% ROI

Yankees vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Aaron Judge (NYY) 0.5 +165 0.5 -200
Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) 0.5 +220 0.5 -275
Gunnar Henderson (BAL) 0.5 +375 0.5 -550
Juan Soto (NYY) 0.5 +425 0.5 -600
Anthony Santander (BAL) 0.5 +425 0.5 -650

Yankees vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Gunnar Henderson (BAL) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
DJ LeMahieu (NYY) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Jose Trevino (NYY) 0.5 -210 0.5 +155

Yankees vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Aaron Judge (NYY) 0.5 -120 0.5 -105
Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) 0.5 +100 0.5 -130
Gleyber Torres (NYY) 0.5 +160 0.5 -210
Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) 0.5 +170 0.5 -225
Anthony Santander (BAL) 0.5 +175 0.5 -250

Yankees vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Cole Irvin (BAL) 4.5 +115 4.5 -150
Luis Gil (NYY) 6.5 +115 6.5 -150

Opponents have a miss rate of just 8% (8/95) against Cole Irvin on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 0 Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .400 (10-for-25) against Cole Irvin when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (3 games) — 3rd highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: .234 — fifth Percentile.

Right-handed batters batted .412 (7-for-17) against Cole Irvin — 3rd highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .217 — fifth Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 17% (88/507) against Cole Irvin this season — 7th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: 24% — fourth Percentile.

Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting just .142 (39-for-274) against Luis Gil this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .234 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .083 (12-for-145) against Luis Gil when ahead in the count this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .185 — 100th Percentile.

Luis Gil has allowed a slugging percentage of just .245 (67 Total Bases / 274 ABs) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .379 — 100th Percentile.

Luis Gil has allowed an OPS of just .495 (316 PA’s) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .673 — 100th Percentile.

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

  
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