The Boston Red Sox (+110) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-130) on Wednesday, June 19, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07pm EDT in Toronto, ON.

This season, the Red Sox are 39-35 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 33-40 ATS.

Red Sox vs Blue Jays Starting Pitchers Today:

• Red Sox starting pitcher: Brayan Bello 6-4, 5.03 ERA
• Blue Jays starting pitcher: Kevin Gausman 5-5, 4.10 ERA

Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Red Sox vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 52.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:

• Rafael Devers has hit the Runs Over in 24 of his last 33 games (+16.85 Units / 47% ROI)
• Rafael Devers has hit the Hits Over in 34 of his last 49 games (+13.80 Units / 14% ROI)
• David Hamilton has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 games (+13.60 Units / 194% ROI)
• Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+12.15 Units / 48% ROI)
• Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Total Bases Over in 30 of his last 45 games (+8.80 Units / 13% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Isiah Kiner-Falefa has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 18 games at home (+14.95 Units / 40% ROI)
• Isiah Kiner-Falefa has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 26 games (+12.60 Units / 24% ROI)
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Singles Over in 30 of his last 44 games (+12.20 Units / 22% ROI)
• George Springer has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+11.45 Units / 41% ROI)
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the RBIs Under in 19 of his last 23 games (+10.80 Units / 22% ROI)

Red Sox Best Bets Today:

• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 31 games (+8.10 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 33 away games (+7.40 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 22 of their last 35 games (+6.75 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 33 away games (+6.70 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 38 of their last 74 games (+6.20 Units / 7% ROI)

Blue Jays Best Bets Today:

• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 43 of their last 72 games (+11.80 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 39 of their last 68 games (+8.90 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 34 of their last 59 games (+5.65 Units / 8% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.00 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 19 games (+3.50 Units / 14% ROI)

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 35-39 against the Run Line (-10.2 Units / -10.16% ROI).

• 39-35 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.85 Units / 0.95% ROI
• 33-37 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.05 Units / -8.68% ROI
• 37-33 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.05 Units / 1.29% ROI

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 33-40 against the Run Line (-12.45 Units / -13.08% ROI).

• 35-38 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.1 Units / -10.39% ROI
• 31-40 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.1 Units / -16.38% ROI
• 40-31 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.5 Units / 6.82% ROI

Blue Jays vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today

Blue Jays vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Blue Jays vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today

Blue Jays vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 17% (71/430) against Brayan Bello since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 157 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Brayan Bello has allowed a slugging percentage of .771 (27 Total Bases / 35 ABs) on fastballs away this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: .363 — first Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 19% (128/674) against Brayan Bello on pitches in the strike zone since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 157 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 61% (152/249) against Brayan Bello in two-strike counts since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 92 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 98th Percentile.

Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Kevin Gausman has allowed a slugging percentage of .769 (30 Total Bases / 39 ABs) on fastballs away this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .344 — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .350 (14-for-40) against Kevin Gausman’s elevated fastball this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .207 — first Percentile.

Kevin Gausman has located his fastball up for a strike 76% (872/1,145) of the time since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 157 total IP; League Avg: 61% — 100th Percentile.

Kevin Gausman has allowed a slugging percentage of .650 (26 Total Bases / 40 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .349 — third Percentile.

Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

  
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