Padres vs Phillies Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun. 17
Padres vs Phillies Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun. 17

The San Diego Padres (+150) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-185) on Monday, June 17, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Philadelphia, PA.

This season, the Padres are 37-38 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 39-32 ATS.

Padres vs Phillies Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Padres starting pitcher: Randy Vasquez 1-3, 4.93 ERA
  • Phillies starting pitcher: Cristopher Sanchez 3-3, 2.99 ERA

Padres vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Padres vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Monday‘s MLB game with 60.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


Bet now on Padres vs Phillies and all games with BetMGM

$1500 First Bet Offer


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Jackson Merrill has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+23.00 Units / 575% ROI)
  • Manny Machado has hit the Runs Under in 36 of his last 47 games (+19.60 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Jurickson Profar has hit the Hits Over in 36 of his last 47 games (+16.25 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Jurickson Profar has hit the Singles Over in 32 of his last 48 games (+14.20 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 18 games (+9.55 Units / 52% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Kyle Schwarber has hit the Singles Over in 21 of his last 40 games (+15.05 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Bryson Stott has hit the RBIs Under in 18 of his last 20 games (+13.20 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Bryce Harper has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 19 games at home (+11.70 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Bryson Stott has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 21 games (+11.55 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Bryson Stott has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 21 games (+11.35 Units / 37% ROI)

  • The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 36 away games (+11.70 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 6 of their last 7 away games (+5.55 Units / 69% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 7 away games (+4.95 Units / 65% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 36 away games (+1.25 Units / 3% ROI)

  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 38 of their last 53 games (+20.90 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 38 of their last 56 games (+19.70 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 38 of their last 54 games (+19.50 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Over in 37 of their last 54 games (+17.25 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 27 games at home (+17.15 Units / 33% ROI)

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Padres are 36-39 against the Run Line (-0.6 Units / -0.66% ROI).

  • 37-38 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.8 Units / -9.9% ROI
  • 37-37 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.3 Units / -4.02% ROI
  • 37-37 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.75 Units / -4.52% ROI

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 39-32 against the Run Line (+7 Units / 8.14% ROI).

  • 47-24 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.85 Units / 11.14% ROI
  • 31-35 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.55 Units / -9.67% ROI
  • 35-31 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.65 Units / 0.83% ROI

Phillies vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Kyle Schwarber (PHI) 0.5 +200 0.5 -250
Bryce Harper (PHI) 0.5 +275 0.5 -350
Trea Turner (PHI) 0.5 +350 0.5 -450
Nick Castellanos (PHI) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Manny Machado (SD) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650

Phillies vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jurickson Profar (SD) 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Manny Machado (SD) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Bryson Stott (PHI) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Nick Castellanos (PHI) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Kyle Schwarber (PHI) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165

Phillies vs Padres RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alec Bohm (PHI) 0.5 +115 0.5 -155
Bryce Harper (PHI) 0.5 +120 0.5 -155
Kyle Schwarber (PHI) 0.5 +120 0.5 -160
Manny Machado (SD) 0.5 +130 0.5 -175
Nick Castellanos (PHI) 0.5 +135 0.5 -175

Phillies vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Cristopher Sanchez (PHI) 3.5 -165 3.5 +125

Randy Vasquez has allowed a slugging percentage of 1.133 (17 Total Bases / 15 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game over the last 14 days — highest among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .354 — second Percentile.

Randy Vasquez has allowed a slugging percentage of .957 (22 Total Bases / 23 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (3 games) — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .388 — second Percentile.

Randy Vasquez has allowed an OPS of 1.663 (18 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game over the last 14 days — highest among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .640 — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .323 (51-for-158) against Randy Vasquez this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 27 total IP; League Avg: .241 — third Percentile.

Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of 60% (130/216) against Cristopher Sanchez this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 97th Percentile.

Opposing hitters have a groundball rate of 67% (33/49) against Cristopher Sanchez when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 40% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 64% (53/83) against Cristopher Sanchez in two-strike counts this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 98th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 66% (118/178) against Cristopher Sanchez in two-strike counts since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 92 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.

Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

  
Read Full Article