Reds vs Pirates Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun. 17
Reds vs Pirates Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun. 17

The Cincinnati Reds (+155) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (-190) on Monday, June 17, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Pittsburgh, PA.

This season, the Reds are 34-37 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 38-33 ATS.

Reds vs Pirates Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Reds starting pitcher: Carson Spiers 0-0, 2.33 ERA
  • Pirates starting pitcher: Paul Skenes 3-0, 2.43 ERA

Reds vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Reds vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Pirates will win Monday‘s MLB game with 59.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:

  • TJ Friedl has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 13 games (+19.70 Units / 152% ROI)
  • Elly De La Cruz has hit the Hits Under in 24 of his last 38 games (+17.55 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Jeimer Candelario has hit the Total Bases Over in 23 of his last 34 games (+14.40 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Elly De La Cruz has hit the Singles Under in 33 of his last 49 games (+10.65 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Elly De La Cruz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 24 of his last 38 games (+8.55 Units / 19% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Nick Gonzales has hit the Hits Over in 24 of his last 29 games (+17.20 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Nick Gonzales has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 29 games (+15.55 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Oneil Cruz has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 12 games at home (+12.40 Units / 103% ROI)
  • Nick Gonzales has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 31 games (+9.45 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Oneil Cruz has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 14 games at home (+9.10 Units / 65% ROI)

  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 55 games (+12.00 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 22 of their last 32 away games (+10.95 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 53 games (+9.85 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 34 of their last 56 games (+9.05 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 21 games (+8.35 Units / 35% ROI)

  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 38 of their last 60 games (+14.05 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 27 games (+8.75 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 18 of their last 27 games (+8.35 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 16 games at home (+8.15 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 32 games (+7.70 Units / 18% ROI)

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Reds are 40-31 against the Run Line (+6 Units / 6.35% ROI).

  • 34-37 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.9 Units / -3.51% ROI
  • 31-37 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.2 Units / -13.02% ROI
  • 37-31 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.65 Units / 3.4% ROI

Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 38-33 against the Run Line (+2.61 Units / 2.81% ROI).

  • 34-37 when betting on the Moneyline for -5 Units / -6.03% ROI
  • 34-33 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.9 Units / -2.42% ROI
  • 33-34 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.72 Units / -4.78% ROI

Pirates vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Oneil Cruz (PIT) 0.5 +333 0.5 -450
Bryan Reynolds (PIT) 0.5 +375 0.5 -550
Andrew McCutchen (PIT) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Jack Suwinski (PIT) 0.5 +475 0.5 -700
Rowdy Tellez (PIT) 0.5 +525 0.5 -750

Pirates vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Oneil Cruz (PIT) 0.5 -275 0.5 +210
Ke'Bryan Hayes (PIT) 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Nick Gonzales (PIT) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Andrew McCutchen (PIT) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Yasmani Grandal (PIT) 0.5 -190 0.5 +145

Pirates vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Oneil Cruz (PIT) 0.5 +130 0.5 -165
Nick Gonzales (PIT) 0.5 +145 0.5 -190
Bryan Reynolds (PIT) 0.5 +155 0.5 -210
Ke'Bryan Hayes (PIT) 0.5 +160 0.5 -210
Andrew McCutchen (PIT) 0.5 +185 0.5 -250

Pirates vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Paul Skenes (PIT) 8.5 +120 8.5 -155
Carson Spiers (CIN) 4.5 +130 4.5 -165

Carson Spiers has allowed three-ball counts to 6% of batters they faced (5/80 PA’s) this season — lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 20% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 26% (7/27) against Carson Spiers in two-strike counts this season — 4th lowest among NL Relievers; League Avg: 45% — fourth Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 30% (10/33) against Carson Spiers this season — 12th lowest among NL Relievers; League Avg: 44% — 11th Percentile.

Carson Spiers has a strike rate of 72% (110/153) vs left-handed batters this season — tied for 5th highest among NL Relievers; League Avg: 64% — 95th Percentile.

Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Paul Skenes has a strikeout rate of 35% (46 SO in 130 PAs) this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 27 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 99th Percentile.

Paul Skenes has an average fastball velocity of 99.3 MPH this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 27 total IP; League Avg: 93.5 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .111 (2-for-18) against Paul Skenes when going through the lineup the first time in a game over the last 14 days — 5th best among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .223 — 91st Percentile.

Paul Skenes has allowed an OPS of just .278 (18 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game over the last 14 days — 4th best among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .640 — 94th Percentile.

Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates

  
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