The Minnesota Twins (-130) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (+105) on Wednesday, September 21, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Kansas City.
The Twins are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The Twins vs Royals Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Twins are 73-73 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 70-74 ATS.
Twins vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Twins vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 58.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Twins and Royals and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jose Miranda has hit the Runs Under in 31 of his last 41 games (+15.90 Units / 24% ROI)
- Trevor Larnach has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 23 away games (+14.30 Units / 31% ROI)
- Alex Kirilloff has hit the Runs Under in 23 of his last 30 games (+11.30 Units / 21% ROI)
- Carlos Correa has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 17 games (+11.20 Units / 29% ROI)
- Carlos Correa has hit the Singles Over in 36 of his last 59 games (+9.45 Units / 13% ROI)
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 30 games at home (+16.60 Units / 30% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the Singles Over in 28 of his last 43 games (+15.55 Units / 35% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the Runs Under in 67 of his last 104 games (+15.15 Units / 10% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 16 games (+13.20 Units / 43% ROI)
- Brady Singer has hit the Strikeouts Over in 16 of his last 22 games (+10.15 Units / 38% ROI)
Royals vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
Edward Olivares | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2500 |
MJ Melendez | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -800 |
Michael A. Taylor | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2500 |
Michael Massey | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
Royals vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +180 |
Edward Olivares | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +125 |
MJ Melendez | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +120 |
Michael A. Taylor | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +125 |
Michael Massey | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +120 |
Royals vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -275 |
Edward Olivares | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -350 |
MJ Melendez | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -300 |
Michael A. Taylor | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -375 |
Michael Massey | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -300 |
Royals vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Daniel Lynch | 4.5 +110 | 4.5 -155 |
Bailey Ober | 3.5 -150 | 3.5 +105 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Twins Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 36 of their last 65 away games (+10.65 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 15 of their last 26 games (+5.20 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 30 of their last 54 games (+4.50 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 games (+1.10 Units / 10% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Royals: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 35 games at home (+12.85 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 38 games at home (+8.95 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 32 of their last 57 games at home (+6.95 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 21 of their last 35 games at home (+6.70 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 38 of their last 72 games at home (+6.50 Units / 8% ROI)
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 67-78 against the Run Line (-15.4 Units / -8.7% ROI).
- 73-73 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.55 Units / -4.44% ROI
- 69-66 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.6 Units / -1.62% ROI
- 66-69 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.3 Units / -6.37% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 70-74 against the Run Line (-16.35 Units / -8.68% ROI).
- 59-86 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.55 Units / -9.43% ROI
- 72-68 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.5 Units / -1.57% ROI
- 68-72 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.85 Units / -7.38% ROI
John Ober: Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Bailey Ober has not allowed a HR in any of his last five starts dating back to April 28th — George Kirby has the longest active streak at 12.
Bailey Ober has not allowed a home run in any of the last 23.2 innings he’s appeared — George Kirby has the longest active streak at 65.0.
Daniel A. Lynch: Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Daniel Lynch has allowed an OPS of .867 (235 PA’s) versus the bottom of the order since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 154 total IP; League Avg: .622 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 33% (43/131) against Daniel Lynch with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 154 total IP; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.
The average home run distance against Daniel Lynch since the start of last season is 413.0 feet — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 152 total IP; League Avg: 399.1
Daniel Lynch has allowed an OBP of .372 (234 PA’s) versus the bottom of the order since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 154 total IP; League Avg: .276 — 0 Percentile.