The Pittsburgh Pirates (+145) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-175) on Wednesday, June 12, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:45pm EDT in St. Louis, MO.

This season, the Pirates are 32-34 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 32-33 ATS.

Pirates vs Cardinals Starting Pitchers Today:

• Pirates starting pitcher: Bailey Falter 3-3, 3.71 ERA
• Cardinals starting pitcher: Sonny Gray 7-4, 3.21 ERA

Pirates vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Pirates vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 56.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today:

• Nick Gonzales has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+14.65 Units / 31% ROI)
• Nick Gonzales has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+13.65 Units / 38% ROI)
• Nick Gonzales has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 12 away games (+12.50 Units / 104% ROI)
• Bryan Reynolds has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 23 away games (+10.85 Units / 32% ROI)
• Andrew McCutchen has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+9.50 Units / 36% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Nolan Gorman has hit the Home Runs Over in 9 of his last 20 games (+23.45 Units / 117% ROI)
• Nolan Gorman has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 24 games (+15.20 Units / 63% ROI)
• Masyn Winn has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+8.00 Units / 32% ROI)
• Nolan Gorman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 22 games (+7.85 Units / 29% ROI)
• Sonny Gray has hit the Pitching Outs Under in his last 6 games (+7.50 Units / 109% ROI)

Pirates Best Bets Today:

• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 34 of their last 55 games (+11.30 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 22 games (+10.55 Units / 39% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 30 games (+10.30 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 22 games (+9.40 Units / 35% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 27 games (+8.60 Units / 24% ROI)

Cardinals Best Bets Today:

• The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 26 games (+7.60 Units / 25% ROI)
• The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games (+5.50 Units / 33% ROI)
• The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 22 games at home (+4.30 Units / 15% ROI)
• The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 13 games at home (+3.40 Units / 21% ROI)

Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 36-30 against the Run Line (+3.51 Units / 4.02% ROI).

• 32-34 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.15 Units / -4.1% ROI
• 33-29 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.5 Units / 2.06% ROI
• 29-33 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.67 Units / -9.22% ROI

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 32-33 against the Run Line (-4.75 Units / -5.52% ROI).

• 31-34 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.8 Units / -11.12% ROI
• 27-33 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.35 Units / -13.25% ROI
• 33-27 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.5 Units / 4.97% ROI

Cardinals vs Pirates Home Run Prop Bets Today

Cardinals vs Pirates Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Cardinals vs Pirates RBI Prop Bets Today

Cardinals vs Pirates Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a line drive rate of 36% (31/85) against Bailey Falter with runners in scoring position since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 90 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.

Bailey Falter has thrown inside pitches 43% of the time (401/937) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of 30% (78/257) against Bailey Falter on non-fastballs since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 155 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 0 Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 33% (54/162) against Bailey Falter this season — 7th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 10th Percentile.

Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Sonny Gray has allowed a slugging percentage of just .137 (37 Total Bases / 271 ABs) on sliders since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 90 total IP; League Avg: .391 — 100th Percentile.

Sonny Gray has allowed a slugging percentage of just .299 (108 Total Bases / 361 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .387 — 100th Percentile.

Sonny Gray has allowed an OPS of just .559 (387 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .679 — 96th Percentile.

Sonny Gray has a strikeout rate of 59% (82 SO in 138 PAs) with two-strikes this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 25 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 100th Percentile.

Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

  
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