The Miami Marlins (+125) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-150) on Wednesday, June 12, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Flushing, NY.

This season, the Marlins are 23-43 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 29-36 ATS.

Marlins vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:

• Marlins starting pitcher: Braxton Garrett 2-1, 5.89 ERA
• Mets starting pitcher: David Peterson 1-0, 3.09 ERA

Marlins vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Marlins vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 52.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Marlins vs Mets and all games with BetMGM

$1500 First Bet Offer

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:

• Josh Bell has hit the Runs Under in 33 of his last 43 games (+15.20 Units / 20% ROI)
• Jake Burger has hit the Total Bases Under in 29 of his last 41 games (+13.15 Units / 22% ROI)
• Bryan De La Cruz has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 23 away games (+10.50 Units / 46% ROI)
• Jake Burger has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 36 games (+10.10 Units / 26% ROI)
• Bryan De La Cruz has hit the RBIs Under in 16 of his last 19 games (+8.60 Units / 18% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Pete Alonso has hit the Singles Under in 28 of his last 39 games (+11.35 Units / 20% ROI)
• Pete Alonso has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 29 games (+10.80 Units / 31% ROI)
• Pete Alonso has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 24 games at home (+9.75 Units / 41% ROI)
• DJ Stewart has hit the Runs Under in 23 of his last 31 games (+8.90 Units / 16% ROI)
• Brandon Nimmo has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+8.70 Units / 49% ROI)

Marlins Best Bets Today:

• The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 38 of their last 61 games (+11.30 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 26 away games (+9.10 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 10 away games (+7.15 Units / 49% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 11 away games (+7.00 Units / 55% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 28 of their last 48 games (+6.10 Units / 11% ROI)

Mets Best Bets Today:

• The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Over in 34 of their last 56 games (+8.45 Units / 12% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 22 games at home (+5.45 Units / 23% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.15 Units / 34% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.65 Units / 22% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 17 games (+1.55 Units / 7% ROI)

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 27-39 against the Run Line (-23.51 Units / -26.16% ROI).

• 23-43 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.4 Units / -24.4% ROI
• 35-30 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.5 Units / 3.45% ROI
• 30-35 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.1 Units / -11.15% ROI

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 29-36 against the Run Line (-10.4 Units / -12.28% ROI).

• 28-37 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.3 Units / -15.55% ROI
• 32-29 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.05 Units / 0.07% ROI
• 29-32 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.55 Units / -8.1% ROI

Mets vs Marlins Home Run Prop Bets Today

Mets vs Marlins Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Mets vs Marlins RBI Prop Bets Today

Mets vs Marlins Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Braxton Garrett has thrown inside pitches 47% of the time (408/859) with two-strikes since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 90 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.

Braxton Garrett has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 92.9 MPH this season (80 balls in play) — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 25 total IP; League Avg: 89.1

Braxton Garrett has walked 11 of 250 batters (4%) with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 155 total IP; League Avg: 9% — 99th Percentile.

Braxton Garrett has thrown inside pitches 46% of the time (1,000/2,171) against right-handed batters since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 90 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 98th Percentile.

Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

David Peterson has located his fastball up for a strike just 49% (251/512) of the time since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 90 total IP; League Avg: 61% — first Percentile.

David Peterson has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 93.3 MPH on the 98 breaking pitches put in play against him since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 90 total IP; League Avg: 87.8.

David Peterson has a strike rate of just 60% (1,806/3,009) against right-handed batters since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 155 total IP; League Avg: 65% — second Percentile.

David Peterson has walked 45 of 352 batters (13%) versus the 2-3-4 hitters since the 2022 season — tied for 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 155 total IP; League Avg: 8% — third Percentile.

Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

  
Read Full Article