The Pittsburgh Pirates (-130) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (+110) on Tuesday, June 11, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:45pm EDT in St. Louis, MO.

This season, the Pirates are 31-34 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 31-33 ATS.

Pirates vs Cardinals Starting Pitchers Today:

• Pirates starting pitcher: Paul Skenes 3-0, 3.00 ERA
• Cardinals starting pitcher: Miles Mikolas 4-6, 5.35 ERA

Pirates vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Pirates vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Pirates will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 55.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today:

• Nick Gonzales has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 24 games (+13.65 Units / 30% ROI)
• Nick Gonzales has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 11 away games (+13.50 Units / 123% ROI)
• Nick Gonzales has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 24 games (+12.30 Units / 35% ROI)
• Bryan Reynolds has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+10.40 Units / 28% ROI)
• Nick Gonzales has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 26 games (+8.65 Units / 32% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Nolan Gorman has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 19 games (+18.15 Units / 96% ROI)
• Nolan Gorman has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 23 games (+13.35 Units / 58% ROI)
• Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.95 Units / 45% ROI)
• Nolan Gorman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 21 games (+6.85 Units / 27% ROI)
• Alec Burleson has hit the Singles Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+6.50 Units / 51% ROI)

Pirates Best Bets Today:

• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 29 games (+11.30 Units / 35% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 21 games (+10.65 Units / 42% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 21 games (+10.55 Units / 41% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 54 games (+10.20 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 26 games (+9.60 Units / 27% ROI)

Cardinals Best Bets Today:

• The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 25 games (+8.60 Units / 29% ROI)
• The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 14 games (+4.50 Units / 29% ROI)
• The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.30 Units / 32% ROI)
• The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 12 games at home (+2.40 Units / 16% ROI)

Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 36-29 against the Run Line (+4.51 Units / 5.22% ROI).

• 31-34 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.15 Units / -5.5% ROI
• 33-28 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.5 Units / 3.47% ROI
• 28-33 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.67 Units / -10.79% ROI

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 31-33 against the Run Line (-5.75 Units / -6.79% ROI).

• 31-33 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.8 Units / -9.98% ROI
• 27-32 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.35 Units / -12.01% ROI
• 32-27 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.5 Units / 3.62% ROI

Cardinals vs Pirates Home Run Prop Bets Today

Cardinals vs Pirates Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Cardinals vs Pirates RBI Prop Bets Today

Cardinals vs Pirates Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Paul Skenes has a strikeout rate of 50% (9 SO in 18 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game over the last 14 days — best among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.

Paul Skenes has a strikeout rate of 35% (38 SO in 107 PAs) this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 25 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.

Paul Skenes has a strikeout rate of 38% (17 SO in 45 PAs) over the last 14 days — 2nd best among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 22% — 97th Percentile.

Paul Skenes has an average fastball velocity of 99.4 MPH this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 25 total IP; League Avg: 93.5 — 100th Percentile.

Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Miles Mikolas has allowed a slugging percentage of .436 (58 Total Bases / 133 ABs) with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .253 — first Percentile.

Miles Mikolas has allowed a slugging percentage of .637 (72 Total Bases / 113 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .362 — second Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .320 (48-for-150) against Miles Mikolas’ non-fastballs this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .214 — third Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .248 (33-for-133) against Miles Mikolas with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .162 — first Percentile.

Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

  
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