The Toronto Blue Jays visit the Milwaukee Brewers to open a three-game set on Monday, and we're diving into the matchup with our Blue Jays vs. Brewers player props based on the best MLB odds.
The Toronto Blue Jays have been very good at beating very bad teams. Their problem beginning Monday at 8:10 p.m. ET from American Family Field is that the Milwaukee Brewers aren't one of those drain-circling clubs.
The Jays have recently racked up series wins over the Oakland Athletics, Pittsburgh Pirates, and Chicago White Sox (twice, including a sweep). All of those squads are carrying records that sit in the bottom third of MLB, with the Athletics and White Sox limping along the worst at 26 and 17 wins, respectively.
Meanwhile, the NL Central-leading Brewers have earned the seventh-best record at 38-27, and their run differential of plus-61 sits in the same spot. W ill they expose the Blue Jays? Or can a 32-33 Toronto team finally reach .500 again?
Here are our best Blue Jays vs. Brewers player props and MLB picks (odds via our
best MLB betting sites; Pick confidence is based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Blue Jays vs. Brewers player props
- Colin Rea Under 3.5 strikeouts (-115 via Betway) ????
- Justin Turner Over 1.5 total bases (+150 via Betway) ????
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Blue Jays vs. Brewers expert picks
The Blue Jays offense has recently taken the tiniest baby steps, moving from a residency near the basement to a rung slightly above. However, there's still a distinct odor from the team while ranking 24th in runs scored.
But Toronto's offensive struggles are rooted in a lack of power hitting and general quality contact, and not missing baseballs entirely. Toronto has struck out t he second-fewest times in all of MLB. The team is disciplined, with four regulars sitting among the top 40 in walk rate (Vladimir Guerrero Jr., Davis Schneider, George Springer, and Daulton Varsho). There's also Danny Jansen, who boasts a strikeout percentage of just 13.3.
That patience doesn't blend well with Colin Rea, whose K/9 sits at a lowly 6.2. That's down significantly from his already poor 7.9 in 2023 and well below the 2024 league average of 8.5. Rea has already hit the Under on 3.5 strikeouts during six of his 10 starts, most recently notching only two against the Philadelphia Phillies.
The righty also seems due for a one-way ticket on the regression express. Sure, his overall ERA of 3.53 is respectable, but it's miles below his 5.56 expected ERA. That ranks in the bottom 7% leaguewide, according to Baseball Savant.
A $10 wager at these -115 odds through Betway will result in an $18.70 pa yout, with an implied probability of 53.48%.
Best odds: -115 via Betway
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Backing the 2024 version of Justin Turner to do anything on any night can be a petrifying experience.
The 39-year-old is finally fading, and his .679 OPS tells a grisly tale. As does a hard-hit rate that's fallen from 40.6 in 2022 to 31.0 now.
However, there may still be signs of a heartbeat left in his bat sometimes, and we're seeing that now. His OPS is .858 over seven games and 26 plate appearances in June, with a .348 batting average. The sample size is small, but any hot stretch is notable when Turner is fresh off a month of slashing a cringe-inducing .111/.210/.139.
His uptick might be short-lived amid the journey to the end for Turner, but the most appealing element of this wager is that he faces a good matchup to keep it rolling on Monday. Rea isn't overpowering while leaning heavily on breaking balls, and specifically his sinker, which is the hurler's most-thrown pitch wh ile heaving it 28.1% of the time. Turner has faced 173 sinkers in 2024 and is hitting .308 against that pitch with a .436 slugging percentage.
A $10 wager at these +150 odds would result in a $25 payout, with an implied probability of 40%.
Best odds: +150 via Betway
Blue Jays vs. Brewers game info & odds
- When: Monday, June 10
- First pitch: 8:10 p.m. ET
- Where: American Family Field, Milwaukee
- How to watch: Sportsnet
- Favorite: Brewers (-115 via Betway)
Blue Jays vs. Brewers player props made Monday at 9:27 a.m. ET.
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