The Baltimore Orioles (-140) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (+115) on Monday, June 10, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:50pm EDT in St. Petersburg, FL.
This season, the Orioles are 42-22 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 27-38 ATS.
Orioles vs Rays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Orioles starting pitcher: Corbin Burnes 6-2, 2.26 ERA
- Rays starting pitcher: Ryan Pepiot 4-2, 3.96 ERA
Orioles vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Orioles vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Monday‘s MLB game with 59.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:
- player high – away
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- player high – home
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 34 of their last 55 games (+18.45 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 34 of their last 49 games (+17.30 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.85 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 16 of their last 23 games (+8.80 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 17 games (+7.85 Units / 30% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 43 of their last 62 games (+23.80 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 35 games at home (+5.85 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 30 games at home (+4.70 Units / 14% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 38-26 against the Run Line (+18.3 Units / 24.55% ROI).
- 42-22 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.95 Units / 11.88% ROI
- 33-23 when betting on the total runs Over for +8 Units / 11.58% ROI
- 23-33 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.45 Units / -19.34% ROI
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 27-38 against the Run Line (-13.05 Units / -15.59% ROI).
- 31-34 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.3 Units / -14.62% ROI
- 34-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.05 Units / -0.07% ROI
- 31-34 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.55 Units / -9.14% ROI
Rays vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -350 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -650 |
| Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Adley Rutschman (BAL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Rays vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Josh Lowe (TB) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Randy Arozarena (TB) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Colton Cowser (BAL) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
Rays vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Rays vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Zack Littell (TB) | 4.5 -105 | 4.5 -125 |
| Grayson Rodriguez (BAL) | 6.5 +100 | 6.5 -135 |
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Corbin Burnes has located his fastball inside 62% of the time (213/342) since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 64% (60/94) against Corbin Burnes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes has located his fastball inside 71% of the time (57/80) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 33% — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes has located his fastballs down 74% of the time (59/80) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .100 (9-for-90) against Ryan Pepiot’s fastball this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 25 total IP; League Avg: .255 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 37% (69/187) against Ryan Pepiot on fastballs this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 25 total IP; League Avg: 19% — 100th Percentile.
Ryan Pepiot has a strikeout rate of 50% (9 SO in 18 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game over the last 14 days — best among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 21% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .087 (2-for-23) against Ryan Pepiot on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 25 total IP; League Avg: .329 — 100th Percentile.