The Minnesota Twins (-110) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (-110) on Sunday, June 9, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in Pittsburgh, PA.

This season, the Twins are 33-31 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 36-28 ATS.

Twins vs Pirates Starting Pitchers Today:

• Twins starting pitcher: Bailey Ober 5-4, 4.94 ERA
• Pirates starting pitcher: Jared Jones 4-5, 3.25 ERA

Twins vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Twins vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:

• Carlos Santana has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 19 away games (+27.80 Units / 146% ROI)
• Willi Castro has hit the Total Bases Under in 22 of his last 32 games (+11.35 Units / 25% ROI)
• Max Kepler has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 31 games (+11.00 Units / 17% ROI)
• Willi Castro has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 22 of his last 32 games (+9.80 Units / 24% ROI)
• Christian Vazquez has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+8.55 Units / 32% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Oneil Cruz has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 11 games at home (+13.40 Units / 122% ROI)
• Nick Gonzales has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 23 games (+12.65 Units / 29% ROI)
• Nick Gonzales has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 23 games (+11.05 Units / 32% ROI)
• Oneil Cruz has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 13 games at home (+10.10 Units / 78% ROI)
• Bryan Reynolds has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 19 games (+8.45 Units / 39% ROI)

Twins Best Bets Today:

• The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 25 games (+9.15 Units / 33% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 23 of their last 36 games (+8.79 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 44 games (+4.00 Units / 7% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 27 of their last 47 games (+3.75 Units / 7% ROI)

Pirates Best Bets Today:

• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 53 games (+11.20 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 25 games (+10.60 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 28 games (+10.30 Units / 33% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 20 games (+9.60 Units / 40% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 20 games (+9.55 Units / 40% ROI)

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Twins are 28-36 against the Run Line (-11.8 Units / -14.06% ROI).

• 33-31 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.95 Units / -5.9% ROI
• 27-33 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.3 Units / -13.41% ROI
• 33-27 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.1 Units / 4.47% ROI

Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 36-28 against the Run Line (+5.51 Units / 6.45% ROI).

• 31-33 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.95 Units / -3.97% ROI
• 32-28 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.5 Units / 2.12% ROI
• 28-32 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.57 Units / -9.39% ROI

Pirates vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today

Pirates vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Pirates vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today

Pirates vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Bailey Ober has allowed a slugging percentage of .686 (59 Total Bases / 86 ABs) versus the top of the order this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: .419 — first Percentile.

Bailey Ober has thrown fastballs up 76% of the time (1,417/1,877) since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 154 total IP; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.

Bailey Ober has allowed a slugging percentage of .727 (40 Total Bases / 55 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: .363 — 0 Percentile.

Bailey Ober has thrown fastballs up 84% of the time (405/481) with two-strikes since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 89 total IP; League Avg: 55% — 100th Percentile.

Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Left-handed hitters have a swing rate of 56% (294/520) against Jared Jones this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a miss rate of 35% (103/294) against Jared Jones this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 98th Percentile.

Hitters have swung at 55% of Jared Jones’ pitches (571/1,037) this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 48% — 98th Percentile.

Jared Jones had a first-pitch strike rate of just 42% (10/24) — lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 64% — first Percentile.

Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates

  
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