The New York Mets (+115) visit London Stadium to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-140) on Sunday, June 9, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10am EDT in .

This season, the Mets are 27-36 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 37-27 ATS.

Mets vs Phillies Starting Pitchers Today:

• Mets starting pitcher: Jose Quintana 1-5, 5.12 ERA
• Phillies starting pitcher: Taijuan Walker 3-1, 5.84 ERA

Mets vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Mets vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 53.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:

• Pete Alonso has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 23 away games (+16.55 Units / 56% ROI)
• Harrison Bader has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 away games (+12.00 Units / 300% ROI)
• Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+11.60 Units / 38% ROI)
• Pete Alonso has hit the Singles Under in 26 of his last 37 games (+9.35 Units / 17% ROI)
• Pete Alonso has hit the Runs Under in 24 of his last 35 games (+8.80 Units / 17% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Bryson Stott has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+14.40 Units / 49% ROI)
• Bryce Harper has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 18 games at home (+12.70 Units / 71% ROI)
• Kyle Schwarber has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 33 games (+11.75 Units / 35% ROI)
• Nick Castellanos has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 26 of his last 39 games (+11.20 Units / 24% ROI)
• Bryson Stott has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.45 Units / 51% ROI)

Mets Best Bets Today:

• The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 25 away games (+12.40 Units / 44% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 25 away games (+9.85 Units / 32% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 28 away games (+8.85 Units / 25% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 18 of their last 27 away games (+7.65 Units / 23% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 27 away games (+6.25 Units / 20% ROI)

Phillies Best Bets Today:

• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Over in 35 of their last 47 games (+20.90 Units / 36% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 48 games (+19.85 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 35 of their last 49 games (+19.70 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 34 of their last 47 games (+18.65 Units / 30% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 30 of their last 45 games (+16.60 Units / 31% ROI)

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 28-35 against the Run Line (-10.4 Units / -12.64% ROI).

• 27-36 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.95 Units / -15.62% ROI
• 32-27 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.25 Units / 3.31% ROI
• 27-32 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.55 Units / -11.39% ROI

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 37-27 against the Run Line (+11.15 Units / 14.49% ROI).

• 45-19 when betting on the Moneyline for +16.4 Units / 15.32% ROI
• 27-33 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.35 Units / -13.28% ROI
• 33-27 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.05 Units / 4.33% ROI

Phillies vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today

Phillies vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Phillies vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today

Phillies vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Jose Quintana has a strike rate of just 59% (500/849) against right-handed batters this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.

Jose Quintana has a strike rate of just 49% (401/813) when ahead in the count since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 89 total IP; League Avg: 61% — 0 Percentile.

Jose Quintana has allowed a slugging percentage of .658 (25 Total Bases / 38 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .347 — first Percentile.

Jose Quintana has a strike rate of just 60% (624/1,044) this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — second Percentile.

Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Hitters have chased just 149 of Taijuan Walker’s 752 breaking balls out of the zone (chase rate of 20%) since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 154 total IP; League Avg: 32% — 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .415 (17 GB hits out of 41 GBs) against Taijuan Walker this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: .239 — 0 Percentile.

Hitters have chased just 66 of Taijuan Walker’s 365 breaking balls out of the zone (chase rate of 18%) since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 89 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a swing rate of just 34% (256/751) against Taijuan Walker on low breaking pitches since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 154 total IP; League Avg: 46% — 0 Percentile.

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

  
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