The Philadelphia Phillies and New York Mets finish their two-game series across the pond in London Sunday morning, and we have you covered with our Mets vs. Phillies player props and expert picks based on the best MLB odds.
After beating the New York Mets 7-2 in Saturday's series opener in London, the Philadelphia Phillies look for a sweep on Sunday at London Stadium at 10 a.m. ET on Sunday morning. The Phillies are -142 favorites, representing an implied win probability of 58.68%.
Philadelphia enters with a run differential of 23 runs better than the next-best National League team, though it can expect its schedule to get much tougher in the coming months having played only six games against teams over .500.
The Mets are aiming for a third consecutive non-losing series after splitting a four-game set with the Arizona Diamondbacks and sweeping the Washington Nationals in t hree straight road games.
Here are our best Mets vs. Phillies player props and MLB picks for Sunday's matchup in London.
Mets vs. Phillies player props
Odds via our best MLB betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale.
- Jose Quintana Over 3.5 earned runs (-110 via DraftKings) ????
- Nick Castellanos to hit a home run (+400 via DraftKings) ??
- Taijuan Walker Under 4.5 strikeouts (-160 via DraftKings) ???
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Mets vs. Phillies expert picks
The Phillies get their second straight look at a Mets southpaw after facing Sean Manaea in the series opener. Philadelphia entered the we ekend with an impressive 112 wRC+ against left-handed pitching over the previous 30 days, and the 9.3% walk rate in that span speaks to the lineup's patience and ability to see the ball well.
The Phillies lineup has been relentless against left-handed pitchers, as eight players had an xwOBA of .320 or better entering Saturday. That should result in plenty of offense against Quintana, who has arguably been the Mets' worst starting pitcher, with a 5.17 WHIP and 1.39 ERA.
Just three of Quintana's 12 starts have been quality starts, and he has allowed three or more earned runs in five of six starts since the calendar turned to May.
Best odds: -110 via DraftKings
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The wind was blowing out slightly at London Stadium Saturday, and if Sunday's forecast is the same, we would be wise to take advantage of a possible big payday with home run props against a pitcher who serves them up in bunches.
Quintana has allowed 11 home runs through 62 2/3 innings, more than double any other Mets pitcher, and Nick Castellanos has the second-highest fly ball to home run rate (22.7%) of any Phillies hitter.
Castellanos also leads all Phillies hitters with a 45.1% hard-hit rate against southpaws, and after breaking a five-game homerless drought with a big fly on Wednesday, we are banking on him clearing the fences again.
Best odds: +400 via DraftKings
In Taijuan Walker's lone start against his former Mets teammates this season, he recorded a season-low one strikeout, though much of that was due to being removed after just 59 pitc hes as he was removed after getting hit in the foot with a line drive. Walker has recorded at least four strikeouts in all of his other starts, but is trending in the wrong direction, with his ERA increasing in five consecutive starts from 4.82 to 5.73.
Walker is the only Phillies starting pitcher with a negative WAR rating, and his 18.0% strikeout rate is on pace to be a career low and has decreased for four consecutive seasons. The Mets rank 15th in strikeout rate since May 1 against right-handed pitchers and are also in the top half of the league in ISO, slugging, and batting average in that split over the same time.
We expect them to put plenty of balls in play in what should be another short outing for Walker, as he has recorded 15 or fewer outs in three of his last four starts.
Best odds: -160 via DraftKings
Mets vs. Phillies odds & game info
- When: S unday, June 9
- First pitch: 10 a.m. ET
- Where: London Stadium, London
- How to watch: ESPN
- Favorite: Phillies (-142 via FanDuel)
Mets-Phillies player props made Saturday at 7:20 a.m. ET.
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