The Cleveland Guardians (-160) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (+135) on Saturday, June 8, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:35pm EDT in Miami, FL.
This season, the Guardians are 40-22 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 26-37 ATS.
Guardians vs Marlins Starting Pitchers Today:
- Guardians starting pitcher: Ben Lively 5-2, 2.86 ERA
- Marlins starting pitcher: Roddery Munoz 1-1, 5.18 ERA
Guardians vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Guardians vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 59.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Home Runs Over in 13 of his last 40 games (+33.30 Units / 83% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the RBIs Over in 28 of his last 47 games (+17.50 Units / 37% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Runs Over in 21 of his last 30 games (+11.70 Units / 34% ROI)
- Will Brennan has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 16 away games (+9.80 Units / 49% ROI)
- Josh Naylor has hit the Singles Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+9.50 Units / 82% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jazz Chisholm has hit the Runs Under in 33 of his last 47 games (+13.70 Units / 20% ROI)
- Jake Burger has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 21 games at home (+13.15 Units / 44% ROI)
- Bryan De La Cruz has hit the Home Runs Over in 10 of his last 47 games (+12.70 Units / 27% ROI)
- Josh Bell has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 18 games at home (+11.75 Units / 32% ROI)
- Bryan De La Cruz has hit the RBIs Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+9.10 Units / 22% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 40 of their last 62 games (+13.87 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 38 of their last 62 games (+11.20 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 34 of their last 62 games (+10.95 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 48 games (+10.40 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Over in 36 of their last 62 games (+6.70 Units / 9% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 35 games at home (+12.05 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 36 of their last 58 games (+10.55 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 22 games (+5.45 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 26 of their last 45 games (+5.20 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 22 games (+3.80 Units / 12% ROI)
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 34-28 against the Run Line (+10.95 Units / 14.9% ROI).
- 40-22 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.87 Units / 16.99% ROI
- 30-28 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.85 Units / -1.24% ROI
- 28-30 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.75 Units / -7.01% ROI
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 26-37 against the Run Line (-21.71 Units / -25.4% ROI).
- 22-41 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.75 Units / -24.52% ROI
- 34-29 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.6 Units / 3.76% ROI
- 29-34 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.05 Units / -11.59% ROI
Marlins vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jazz Chisholm (MIA) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Jake Burger (MIA) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Bryan De La Cruz (MIA) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
| Jesus Sanchez (MIA) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Marlins vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Burger (MIA) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Will Brennan (CLE) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Jazz Chisholm (MIA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Josh Bell (MIA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
Marlins vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Bryan De La Cruz (MIA) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Jake Burger (MIA) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| David Fry (CLE) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Marlins vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Roddery Munoz (MIA) | 3.5 -110 | 3.5 -120 |
| Ben Lively (CLE) | 4.5 +125 | 4.5 -160 |
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a first pitch chase rate of just 9% (25/268) against Ben Lively since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 89 total IP; League Avg: 16% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 29% (18/62) against Ben Lively on non-fastballs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: 46% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 15% (9/61) against Ben Lively on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 8th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: 25% — sixth Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 27% (17/64) against Ben Lively this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: 42% — second Percentile.
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game