The Arizona Diamondbacks (+105) visit Petco Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-125) on Friday, June 7, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in San Diego, CA.

This season, the Diamondbacks are 30-33 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 33-33 ATS.

Diamondbacks vs Padres Starting Pitchers Today:

• Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Brandon Pfaadt 2-4, 4.28 ERA
• Padres starting pitcher: Michael King 4-4, 3.84 ERA

Diamondbacks vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Diamondbacks vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Friday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:

• Christian Walker has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 away games (+15.10 Units / 168% ROI)
• Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Under in 30 of his last 38 games (+13.80 Units / 19% ROI)
• Eugenio Suarez has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 20 away games (+12.25 Units / 34% ROI)
• Eugenio Suarez has hit the Total Bases Under in 28 of his last 47 games (+11.95 Units / 22% ROI)
• Christian Walker has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 14 games (+11.40 Units / 42% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Jurickson Profar has hit the Hits Over in 31 of his last 39 games (+17.45 Units / 22% ROI)
• Manny Machado has hit the RBIs Under in 22 of his last 25 games at home (+15.90 Units / 33% ROI)
• Jurickson Profar has hit the Singles Over in 28 of his last 40 games (+14.50 Units / 31% ROI)
• Jake Cronenworth has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 27 games (+14.00 Units / 31% ROI)
• Kyle Higashioka has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+11.30 Units / 283% ROI)

Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:

• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 54 games (+9.65 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 12 away games (+7.65 Units / 48% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 52 games (+6.25 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 17 away games (+5.20 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 32 away games (+3.65 Units / 10% ROI)

Padres Best Bets Today:

• The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 22 of their last 31 games at home (+12.15 Units / 32% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 28 games at home (+9.10 Units / 28% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.80 Units / 44% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 34 games (+5.40 Units / 13% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.25 Units / 3% ROI)

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 28-35 against the Run Line (-10.85 Units / -13.06% ROI).

• 30-33 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.75 Units / -7.42% ROI
• 28-33 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.4 Units / -12.02% ROI
• 33-28 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.7 Units / 3.93% ROI

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Padres are 33-33 against the Run Line (+2.3 Units / 2.84% ROI).

• 32-34 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.95 Units / -11.7% ROI
• 32-33 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.95 Units / -5.48% ROI
• 33-32 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.4 Units / -3.28% ROI

Padres vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today

Padres vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Padres vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today

Padres vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Brandon Pfaadt allowed a batting average of just .181 vs right-handed batters (eighth best)– 89th Percentile and .282 vs left-handed batters this season (tied for ninth worst among qualified SPs)– 16th Percentile.

Brandon Pfaadt has a first-pitch strike rate of 73% (218/298) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — 100th Percentile.

Brandon Pfaadt has walked 7 of 153 left-handed batters (5%) this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 92nd Percentile.

Brandon Pfaadt has allowed an OBP of just .168 (155 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — tied for 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .230 — 93rd Percentile.

Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Michael King has allowed a slugging percentage of .889 (32 Total Bases / 36 ABs) on inside fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .401 — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .246 (42-for-171) against Michael King’s elevated fastball since the 2022 season — 15th highest among among 113 qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .204 — 13th Percentile.

Michael King has walked 12 of 116 batters (10%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 6th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — seventh Percentile.

61% of Michael King’s fastball strikeouts are located away this season — 7th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 48% — 90th Percentile.

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

  
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