The Seattle Mariners (-120) visit Ewing M. Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (+100) on Friday, June 7, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Kansas City, MO.

This season, the Mariners are 36-28 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 39-24 ATS.

Mariners vs Royals Starting Pitchers Today:

• Mariners starting pitcher: Bryce Miller 5-5, 3.20 ERA
• Royals starting pitcher: Daniel Lynch 0-0, 1.50 ERA

Mariners vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Mariners vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Friday‘s MLB game with 53.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:

• Ty France has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 22 games (+16.90 Units / 77% ROI)
• J.P. Crawford has hit the Total Bases Over in 24 of his last 32 games (+15.00 Units / 31% ROI)
• Mitch Haniger has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+13.25 Units / 77% ROI)
• Mitch Haniger has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+11.70 Units / 33% ROI)
• Mitch Haniger has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 17 games (+10.85 Units / 38% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Nelson Velazquez has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 11 games (+14.20 Units / 129% ROI)
• MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 27 games (+13.70 Units / 50% ROI)
• MJ Melendez has hit the Singles Under in 22 of his last 27 games (+13.15 Units / 27% ROI)
• MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 27 games (+12.35 Units / 35% ROI)
• Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the RBIs Over in 11 of his last 14 games at home (+12.25 Units / 88% ROI)

Mariners Best Bets Today:

• The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 20 of their last 31 games (+8.65 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 43 games (+7.90 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.15 Units / 38% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 52 games (+5.65 Units / 8% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 54% ROI)

Royals Best Bets Today:

• The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 38 of their last 59 games (+14.04 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 30 games at home (+13.65 Units / 36% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 30 games at home (+8.80 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 18 games at home (+7.45 Units / 34% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+5.80 Units / 26% ROI)

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 32-32 against the Run Line (-3.2 Units / -3.78% ROI).

• 36-28 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.9 Units / 2.33% ROI
• 22-39 when betting on the total runs Over for -20.3 Units / -29.68% ROI
• 39-22 when betting on the total runs Under for +14.2 Units / 20.17% ROI

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Royals are 39-24 against the Run Line (+10.44 Units / 11.81% ROI).

• 37-26 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.45 Units / 16.84% ROI
• 27-33 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.3 Units / -13.64% ROI
• 33-27 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.2 Units / 4.69% ROI

Royals vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today

Royals vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Royals vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today

Royals vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Bryce Miller has thrown fastballs 82% of the time (179/219) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 48% — 100th Percentile.

Bryce Miller has a strikeout rate of 50% (9 SO in 18 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game over the last 14 days — tied for best among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.

Bryce Miller allowed a batting average of just .200 vs right-handed batters (eighth best)– 94th Percentile and .303 vs left-handed batters last season (tied for sixth worst among non-qualified SPs)– seventh Percentile.

Left-handed batters are hitting just .175 (24-for-137) against Bryce Miller this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .235 — 93rd Percentile.

Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting .437 (45-for-103) against Daniel Lynch on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 153 total IP; League Avg: .343 — first Percentile.

Daniel Lynch’s highest spin rate on two-strike changeups since the 2022 season is 1910.0 RPM — 10th fewest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 153 total IP; League Avg: 2294.9

Opponents are hitting .290 (49-for-169) against Daniel Lynch’s elevated fastball since the 2022 season — 10th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 153 total IP; League Avg: .223 — seventh Percentile.

Daniel Lynch has allowed a slugging percentage of .509 (82 Total Bases / 161 ABs) when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the 2022 season — 13th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 153 total IP; League Avg: .434 — 10th Percentile.

Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Royals

  
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