The Chicago Cubs (-105) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (-115) on Friday, June 7, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Cincinnati, OH.

This season, the Cubs are 31-32 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 37-26 ATS.

Cubs vs Reds Starting Pitchers Today:

• Cubs starting pitcher: Justin Steele 0-2, 4.14 ERA
• Reds starting pitcher: Nick Lodolo 5-2, 3.16 ERA

Cubs vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Cubs vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Friday‘s MLB game with 51.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:

• Michael Busch has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 21 away games (+16.10 Units / 77% ROI)
• Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 17 away games (+13.55 Units / 39% ROI)
• Christopher Morel has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 22 games (+12.65 Units / 43% ROI)
• Christopher Morel has hit the RBIs Over in 17 of his last 32 games (+10.55 Units / 33% ROI)
• Mike Tauchman has hit the Singles Over in 27 of his last 44 games (+9.90 Units / 21% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Elly De La Cruz has hit the Hits Under in 27 of his last 49 games (+14.20 Units / 25% ROI)
• Elly De La Cruz has hit the Stolen Bases Under in 17 of his last 19 games (+13.45 Units / 34% ROI)
• TJ Friedl has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 games (+12.10 Units / 242% ROI)
• Jeimer Candelario has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 26 games (+10.75 Units / 32% ROI)
• Elly De La Cruz has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 32 games (+10.45 Units / 26% ROI)

Cubs Best Bets Today:

• The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 25 of their last 37 games (+11.50 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 9 games (+8.00 Units / 78% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 23 of their last 37 games (+7.15 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 30 away games (+2.10 Units / 6% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 61 games (+1.15 Units / 2% ROI)

Reds Best Bets Today:

• The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 45 games (+12.90 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 21 of their last 29 games at home (+11.95 Units / 33% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 17 games at home (+10.70 Units / 54% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games (+8.00 Units / 52% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 21 games at home (+6.35 Units / 27% ROI)

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 30-33 against the Run Line (-10.9 Units / -12.34% ROI).

• 31-32 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.85 Units / -1.09% ROI
• 30-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.25 Units / -6.1% ROI
• 31-30 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.8 Units / -2.61% ROI

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Reds are 37-26 against the Run Line (+9.05 Units / 10.83% ROI).

• 30-33 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.25 Units / -4.41% ROI
• 30-30 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.6 Units / -5.16% ROI
• 30-30 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.15 Units / -4.56% ROI

Reds vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today

Reds vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Reds vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today

Reds vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Justin Steele has thrown inside pitches 45% of the time (392/875) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 88 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.

Justin Steele has a strikeout rate of 50% (9 SO in 18 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game over the last 14 days — best among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.

Justin Steele has thrown inside pitches 45% of the time (987/2,220) in non-two strike counts since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 88 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.

Justin Steele has thrown fastballs 74% of the time (651/875) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 88 total IP; League Avg: 51% — 100th Percentile.

Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a swing rate of just 32% (214/676) against Nick Lodolo on inside fastballs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 153 total IP; League Avg: 49% — 0 Percentile.

Nick Lodolo has allowed an OBP of .377 (305 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 153 total IP; League Avg: .305 — 0 Percentile.

Nick Lodolo has thrown inside pitches 42% of the time (99/236) with two-strikes this season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 96th Percentile.

Nick Lodolo has allowed a slugging percentage of .617 (58 Total Bases / 94 ABs) on low fastballs since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 153 total IP; League Avg: .422 — first Percentile.

Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

  
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