The Cleveland Guardians (-130) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (+110) on Friday, June 7, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Miami, FL.

This season, the Guardians are 40-21 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 25-37 ATS.

Guardians vs Marlins Starting Pitchers Today:

• Guardians starting pitcher: Logan Allen 0-1, 3.67 ERA
• Marlins starting pitcher: Ryan Weathers 3-5, 3.39 ERA

Guardians vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Guardians vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Friday‘s MLB game with 56.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:

• Jose Ramirez has hit the Home Runs Over in 13 of his last 39 games (+34.30 Units / 88% ROI)
• Jose Ramirez has hit the RBIs Over in 28 of his last 46 games (+18.50 Units / 40% ROI)
• Jose Ramirez has hit the Runs Over in 21 of his last 29 games (+12.75 Units / 38% ROI)
• Gabriel Arias has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 19 games (+12.15 Units / 46% ROI)
• Andres Gimenez has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 23 away games (+9.60 Units / 32% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Jake Burger has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+14.55 Units / 51% ROI)
• Josh Bell has hit the Runs Under in 30 of his last 39 games (+13.90 Units / 20% ROI)
• Bryan De La Cruz has hit the RBIs Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+11.35 Units / 30% ROI)
• Josh Bell has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 17 games at home (+10.75 Units / 32% ROI)
• Tim Anderson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.75 Units / 56% ROI)

Guardians Best Bets Today:

• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 40 of their last 61 games (+14.97 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 34 of their last 61 games (+11.95 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 37 of their last 61 games (+10.20 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 47 games (+9.40 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Over in 36 of their last 61 games (+8.00 Units / 11% ROI)

Marlins Best Bets Today:

• The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 34 games at home (+13.15 Units / 35% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 35 of their last 57 games (+9.55 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 26 of their last 44 games (+6.20 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 21 games (+4.45 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 21 games (+2.80 Units / 9% ROI)

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 34-27 against the Run Line (+11.95 Units / 16.48% ROI).

• 40-21 when betting on the Moneyline for +14.97 Units / 18.59% ROI
• 30-27 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.25 Units / 0.37% ROI
• 27-30 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.75 Units / -8.63% ROI

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 25-37 against the Run Line (-22.71 Units / -27.15% ROI).

• 21-41 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.75 Units / -26.41% ROI
• 34-28 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.7 Units / 5.44% ROI
• 28-34 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.05 Units / -13.24% ROI

Marlins vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today

Marlins vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Marlins vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today

Marlins vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Logan Allen has allowed a slugging percentage of .633 (57 Total Bases / 90 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: .386 — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .464 (13-for-28) against Logan Allen on low fastballs this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: .263 — third Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .373 (41-for-110) against Logan Allen’s fastball this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: .255 — 0 Percentile.

Logan Allen has allowed a slugging percentage of .538 (126 Total Bases / 234 ABs) this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: .392 — second Percentile.

Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Ryan Weathers has allowed an OBP of .402 (107 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .279 — first Percentile.

Ryan Weathers has allowed an OPS of just .365 (108 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .671 — 100th Percentile.

Ryan Weathers has a strikeout rate of just 7% (3 SO in 45 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a swing rate of just 29% (68/233) against Ryan Weathers on sliders this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 48% — first Percentile.

Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins

  
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