Thursday features a 10-game slate, and we're diving in to offer our top MLB player props and expert picks based on the best MLB odds.
It's actually an unusually decent Thursday 10-pack in Major League Baseball, starting with an AL East battle between the Baltimore Orioles and Toronto Blue Jays at 1:07 p.m. ET.
We then get some early West Coast action when the Seattle Mariners and Oakland Athletics square off at 3:37 p.m. ET, and the Coliseum is the site of our first player prop on Thursday.
As we move into the evening, we're treated to another showdown between the Minnesota Twins and the World Series odds-favorite New York Yankees. First pitch for that game is expected at 7:05 p.m. ET.
Finally, we cap off the night with the Arizona Diamondbacks vs. the San Diego Padres at 9:40 p.m. ET, and we're targeting that game for our second player prop.
Here are our MLB player props and expert picks for Thursday (MLB picks based on odds via our
best MLB betting sites; Pick confidence is based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Thursday's MLB expert picks
- Bryan Woo Under 5.5 strikeouts (+112 via FanDuel) ????
- Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 1.5 total bases (+105 via BetMGM) ???
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MLB player props
| DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | Caesars | bet365 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odds | Under 5.5 (+110) | Under 5.5 (+112) | Under 5.5 (+105) | Under 5.5 (+110) | Under 5.5 (+100) |
Game info: Mariners vs. Athletics | Moneyline: Mariners (-140 via Betway) | Total: Over 7.5 (-120)/Under 7.5 (+100) via Betway | Start time: 3:37 p.m. ET
We bet on a Bryan Woo strikeout Under earlier this season when he faced the New York Yankees, one of the least strikeout-prone teams in the majors. He finished with seven punchouts over six innings. Since then, Woo has managed just three Ks across 12 innings. Betting is fun!
Woo takes his 5.86 K/9 into Oakland to face an Athletics team that strikes out at the second-highest rate in the league on Thursday. Are we making this bet simply out of spite? No, but could you blame me if I was?
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Instead, we're making this bet because Woo's strikeout projection on Thursday is only 4.42. When we run that number against these +112 odds, we're getting a whopping 50% positive expected value on this bet. Most of our other best sports betting sites offer similar odds, providing us with plenty of options.
Meanwhile, Pinnacle, which features one of the most respected trading teams in the sports betting industry, has the Under priced at -115 after opening at +110.
Best odds: +112 via FanDuel
| DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | Caesars | bet365 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odds | Over 1.5 (+105) | Over 1.5 (-110) | Over 1.5 (+105) | Over 1.5 (+100) | Over 1.5 (+105) |
Game info: Diamondbacks vs. Padres | Moneyline: Padres (-120 via Betway) | Total: Over 8.5 (+100)/Under 8.5 (-120) via Betway | Start time: 9:40 p.m. ET
San Diego Padres outfielder Fernando Tatis Jr. is among the favorites by the MLB MVP odds in the NL, and he's trying to chase down the Los Angeles Dodgers' duo of Mookie Betts and Shohei Ohtani with his recent play.
Tatis is hitting .392 with a 1.005 OPS over the last two weeks, and his Statcast data suggests he should continue to rack up hits in bunches. Tatis owns just a .277 average compared to his .299 xBA, but his .443 slugging percentage is really due for some positive regression. The talented outfielder is crushing the ball, and his expected slugging percentage is .525.
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We're also getting roughly 10% +EV on Tatis' Over on Thursday based on his projections and these +105 odds, available at three of our best sports betting apps. For those interested in betting on Tatis to leave the yard on Thursday, the best price for a home run is +400 via BetMGM.
Best odds: +105 via BetMGM
MLB player props made Thursday at 8:30 a.m. ET.
Here are our best MLB betting sites:
- Caesars Promo Code: SBRBONUS1000 | Read our Caesars Review
- BetMGM Bonus Code: SBRBONUS | Read our BetMGM Review
- bet365 Bonus Code: SBRBONUS | Read our bet365 Review
- BetRivers Promo Code: SBRBONUS | Read our BetRivers Review
- FanDuel Promo Code | Read our FanDuel Review
- DraftKings Promo Code | Read our DraftKings Review
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Related pages
- Best Live Betting Sites | Best Sportsbook Promos (U.S. only)