The Atlanta Braves (-175) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (+145) on Thursday, June 6, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:45pm EDT in Washington, DC.

This season, the Braves are 34-25 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 36-25 ATS.

Braves vs Nationals Starting Pitchers Today:

• Braves starting pitcher: Reynaldo Lopez 3-2, 1.74 ERA
• Nationals starting pitcher: Mitchell Parker 4-3, 3.65 ERA

Braves vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Braves vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 62.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:

• Matt Olson has hit the Total Bases Under in 34 of his last 45 games (+19.00 Units / 30% ROI)
• Michael Harris II has hit the Runs Under in 36 of his last 50 games (+16.35 Units / 22% ROI)
• Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 24 away games (+15.50 Units / 44% ROI)
• Austin Riley has hit the RBIs Under in 27 of his last 34 games (+15.00 Units / 26% ROI)
• Orlando Arcia has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 away games (+13.20 Units / 132% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Eddie Rosario has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 24 games (+19.90 Units / 83% ROI)
• Luis Garcia has hit the Hits Under in 22 of his last 29 games (+13.75 Units / 23% ROI)
• Eddie Rosario has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 28 games (+13.45 Units / 48% ROI)
• Lane Thomas has hit the Total Bases Under in 24 of his last 32 games (+13.25 Units / 26% ROI)
• Eddie Rosario has hit the Singles Under in 28 of his last 38 games (+11.90 Units / 20% ROI)

Braves Best Bets Today:

• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 45 games (+20.75 Units / 41% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 24 away games (+8.39 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 17 away games (+6.75 Units / 35% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 28 away games (+2.75 Units / 8% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 11 away games (+2.35 Units / 17% ROI)

Nationals Best Bets Today:

• The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 53 games (+11.75 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 53 games (+9.10 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 17 games at home (+8.55 Units / 42% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 55 games (+6.70 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 53 games (+6.15 Units / 11% ROI)

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Braves are 29-30 against the Run Line (-1 Units / -1.48% ROI).

• 34-25 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.7 Units / -6.32% ROI
• 21-36 when betting on the total runs Over for -18.05 Units / -28.05% ROI
• 36-21 when betting on the total runs Under for +12.9 Units / 19.68% ROI

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 36-25 against the Run Line (+7.83 Units / 9.93% ROI).

• 27-34 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.85 Units / 9.43% ROI
• 26-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.75 Units / -11.64% ROI
• 31-26 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.18 Units / 3.22% ROI

Nationals vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today

Nationals vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Nationals vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today

Nationals vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Reynaldo Lopez has walked 19 of 409 right-handed batters (5%) since the 2022 season — 5th best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 8% — 95th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .198 (16-for-81) against Reynaldo Lopez on low fastballs since the 2022 season — 8th best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .272 — 93rd Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .106 (28-for-264) against Reynaldo Lopez with two-strikes since last season — 10th best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .156 — 90th Percentile.

Reynaldo Lopez has allowed an OPS of just .331 (293 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — 7th best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .474 — 93rd Percentile.

Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting just .118 (2-for-17) against Mitchell Parker when going through the lineup the second time in a game over the last 14 days — tied for 3rd best among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .253 — 96th Percentile.

Mitchell Parker has walked 2 of 81 batters (3%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 23 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 95th Percentile.

Mitchell Parker has thrown his curveball 27% of the time (42/157) when he’s behind in the count this season — 7th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 23 total CB; League Avg: 9% — 93rd Percentile.

Opponents have a swing rate of 61% (81/132) against Mitchell Parker on low breaking pitches this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 23 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.

Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals

  
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