Dodgers vs Pirates Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun. 6
Dodgers vs Pirates Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun. 6

The Los Angeles Dodgers (-185) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (+150) on Thursday, June 6, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Pittsburgh, PA.

This season, the Dodgers are 38-25 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 34-27 ATS.

Dodgers vs Pirates Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Dodgers starting pitcher: Walker Buehler 1-3, 4.32 ERA
  • Pirates starting pitcher: Bailey Falter 3-2, 3.24 ERA

Dodgers vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Dodgers vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 66.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


Bet now on Dodgers vs Pirates and all games with BetMGM

$1500 First Bet Offer


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Will Smith has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 18 away games (+16.50 Units / 92% ROI)
  • Teoscar Hernandez has hit the RBIs Under in 19 of his last 22 games (+14.10 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Mookie Betts has hit the Runs Under in 27 of his last 46 games (+14.10 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 29 of his last 44 games (+12.50 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Total Bases Under in 31 of his last 47 games (+11.20 Units / 17% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Jack Suwinski has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games (+13.00 Units / 162% ROI)
  • Nick Gonzales has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+12.40 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Nick Gonzales has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+12.35 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Rowdy Tellez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 21 of his last 29 games (+11.05 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Bryan Reynolds has hit the Runs Under in 33 of his last 49 games (+11.05 Units / 16% ROI)

  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 35 games (+7.90 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 40 games (+2.90 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.90 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 40 games (+0.75 Units / 1% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 7 games (+0.10 Units / 1% ROI)

  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 25 games (+11.50 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 50 games (+10.30 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 22 games (+9.70 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games (+9.50 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.75 Units / 43% ROI)

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 32-31 against the Run Line (-3.75 Units / -4.99% ROI).

  • 38-25 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.75 Units / -8.01% ROI
  • 30-32 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.05 Units / -7.32% ROI
  • 32-30 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.95 Units / -1.36% ROI

Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 34-27 against the Run Line (+4.61 Units / 5.67% ROI).

  • 29-32 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.15 Units / -5.82% ROI
  • 31-26 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.7 Units / 4% ROI
  • 26-31 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.57 Units / -11.34% ROI

Pirates vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) 0.5 +290 0.5 -375
Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) 0.5 +340 0.5 -450
Mookie Betts (LAD) 0.5 +375 0.5 -500
Will Smith (LAD) 0.5 +425 0.5 -650
Andy Pages (LAD) 0.5 +425 0.5 -600

Pirates vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Miguel Rojas (LAD) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Bryan Reynolds (PIT) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Ke'Bryan Hayes (PIT) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Enrique Hernandez (LAD) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Nick Gonzales (PIT) 0.5 -225 0.5 +160

Pirates vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Will Smith (LAD) 0.5 +110 0.5 -145
Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) 0.5 +115 0.5 -155
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) 0.5 +120 0.5 -160
Freddie Freeman (LAD) 0.5 +130 0.5 -175
Mookie Betts (LAD) 0.5 +145 0.5 -190

Pirates vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Bailey Falter (PIT) 3.5 +100 3.5 -130
Walker Buehler (LAD) 5.5 +105 5.5 -140

Opponents have a chase percentage of just 14% (11/79) against Walker Buehler — 2nd lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 29% — first Percentile.

Walker Buehler has walked 3 of 18 batters (17%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game over the last 14 days — tied for 2nd highest among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 7% — eighth Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 26% (5/19) against Walker Buehler over the last 14 days — 5th lowest among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 45% — 10th Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of just 11% (5/44) against Walker Buehler over the past seven days (1 games) — lowest among NL Starters over the last week; League Avg: 27% — first Percentile.

Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Bailey Falter has a strikeout rate of just 8% (6 SO in 73 PAs) versus the bottom of the order this season — tied for lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — second Percentile.

Bailey Falter has a strikeout rate of just 13% (13 SO in 99 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 14% (10/70) against Bailey Falter on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — second Percentile.

Bailey Falter has a strikeout rate of just 16% (16 SO in 99 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 6th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — seventh Percentile.

Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates

  
Read Full Article