The Atlanta Braves (-165) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (+140) on Tuesday, June 4, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Boston, MA.

This season, the Braves are 33-24 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 27-33 ATS.

Braves vs Red Sox Starting Pitchers Today:

• Braves starting pitcher: Max Fried 5-2, 2.96 ERA
• Red Sox starting pitcher: Kutter Crawford 2-4, 3.31 ERA

Braves vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Braves vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 64.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:

• Matt Olson has hit the Total Bases Under in 32 of his last 43 games (+17.00 Units / 28% ROI)
• Ozzie Albies has hit the Runs Under in 24 of his last 31 games (+15.75 Units / 42% ROI)
• Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 24 away games (+14.10 Units / 42% ROI)
• Austin Riley has hit the RBIs Under in 25 of his last 32 games (+13.00 Units / 23% ROI)
• Jarred Kelenic has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 away games (+12.10 Units / 303% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Jarren Duran has hit the Singles Under in 32 of his last 48 games (+17.05 Units / 34% ROI)
• Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 38 games (+14.50 Units / 38% ROI)
• Dominic Smith has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 24 games (+10.90 Units / 23% ROI)
• Rafael Devers has hit the Hits Over in 25 of his last 36 games (+10.00 Units / 14% ROI)
• Dominic Smith has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 20 games (+7.20 Units / 25% ROI)

Braves Best Bets Today:

• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 43 games (+20.80 Units / 43% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 22 away games (+8.84 Units / 33% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 15 away games (+6.80 Units / 40% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 9 away games (+4.90 Units / 45% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 26 away games (+3.75 Units / 13% ROI)

Red Sox Best Bets Today:

• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 27 games at home (+9.45 Units / 32% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games at home (+6.80 Units / 40% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 31 of their last 60 games (+6.75 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 13 of their last 21 games (+3.75 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 33 of their last 60 games (+3.05 Units / 4% ROI)

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Braves are 28-29 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).

• 33-24 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.6 Units / -6.39% ROI
• 20-35 when betting on the total runs Over for -17.95 Units / -28.91% ROI
• 35-20 when betting on the total runs Under for +12.95 Units / 20.43% ROI

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 27-33 against the Run Line (-10.9 Units / -13.4% ROI).

• 30-30 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.55 Units / -3.55% ROI
• 24-32 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.7 Units / -16.24% ROI
• 32-24 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.85 Units / 8.83% ROI

Red Sox vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today

Red Sox vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Red Sox vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today

Red Sox vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of 63% (117/185) against Max Fried this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 66% (94/143) against Max Fried this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.

Max Fried has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 83.1 MPH this season (147 balls in play) — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 88.9

Max Fried has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 83.1 MPH (147 batted balls) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 88.9 — 100th Percentile.

Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 27% (20/74) against Kutter Crawford in two-strike counts this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — first Percentile.

Kutter Crawford has allowed a slugging percentage of just .135 (5 Total Bases / 37 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .341 — 98th Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 30% (29/96) against Kutter Crawford this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — seventh Percentile.

Kutter Crawford has allowed a slugging percentage of just .279 (36 Total Bases / 129 ABs) vs left-handed batters this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .390 — 96th Percentile.

Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox

  
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