Only eight games are on the docket to start the week, but we've still uncovered plenty of value with our top MLB player props and expert picks for Monday based on the best MLB odds.
Monday's schedule features a light eight games, as many teams across MLB prepare for their next series.
Kicking off Monday's action is a showdown between division leaders, as the World Series odds-contender Philadelphia Phillies host the Milwaukee Brewers. First pitch is expected to be thrown at 6:40 p.m. ET.
Fans will also be treated to an AL East showdown at Rogers Centre, where the Toronto Blue Jays will host the Baltimore Orioles.
Monday concludes with another divisional matchup, this one coming in the NL West. The San Francisco Giants head to the desert to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks, with first pitch from Chase Field expected for 9:40 p.m. ET.
Here are our MLB player props and expert picks for Monday (MLB picks based on odds via our
best MLB betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Monday's MLB expert picks
- Kyle Tucker Over 1.5 total bases (+117 via BetRivers) ???
- Spencer Steer Under 1.5 total bases (+100 via bet365) ???
- Brenton Doyle Under 1.5 total bases (-120 via BetMGM) ???
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MLB player props
| DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | Caesars | bet365 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odds | Over 1.5 (+115) | Over 1.5 (+105) | Over 1.5 (+115) | Over 1.5 (+112) | Over 1.5 (+115) |
Game info: Cardinals vs. Astros | Moneyline: Astros (-180 via Betway) | Total: Over 8.5 (+105)/Under 8.5 (-125) via Betway | Start time: 8:10 p.m. ET
Houston Astros outfielder Kyle Tucker is among the favorites by the MLB MVP odds, but he's hit a bit of a speedbump. Tucker owns just a .739 OPS over the last two weeks, and his average is just .174.
For the season, Tucker is hitting just .263, which is well below the batting averages owned by fellow AL MVP contenders Aaron Judge (.288), Juan Soto (.322), and Bobby Witt Jr. (.313). However, Tucker's .240 BABIP and .284 expected batting average suggest he's due for positive regression, and he's still managed to smash four home runs even during his 14-day cold spell.
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Tucker's projections for Monday suggest he should have a solid day at the plate, whether that be through another long ball or a couple of base hits. Based on his projections, we're getting nearly 20% positive expected value through these +117 odds.
Most of our best sports betting sites offer competitive prices on this Over, while Pinnacle – which features one of the most respected trading teams in the sports betting industry – is also trading at +115 after opening this Over at +120.
Best odds: +117 via BetRivers
| DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | Caesars | bet365 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odds | Under 1.5 (-105) | OFF | Under 1.5 (-105) | Under 1.5 (-103) | Under 1.5 (+100) |
Game info: Reds vs. Rockies | Moneyline: Reds (-125 via Betway) | Total: Over 10.5 (-110)/Under 10.5 (-110) via Betway | Start time: 8:40 p.m. ET
Cincinnati Reds first baseman/outfielder Spencer Steer may not have gotten the recognition that some of his fellow rookies did in 2023 – especially considering teammate Elly De La Cruz tends to hog the spotlight with his exciting style of play – but he was among the best first-year players last year.
However, Steer is experiencing a sophomore slump so far this season. His OPS is down from .820 to .744, and he's hit just two home runs over the last 30 days.
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It doesn't appear things are set to get much better for Steer at the dish on Monday, despite the fact that he and the Reds are playing at Coors Field. Based on his projections, we're getting roughly 13.5% +EV by playing his Under 1.5 total bases at these +100 odds.
This one is more about the number than it is about us truly believing Steer can't record two-plus bases in Colorado. None of our other best sports betting apps are offering even money on this prop, and Pinnacle is already at -114 after opening at this same +100 price.
Best odds: +100 via bet365
| DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | Caesars | bet365 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odds | Under 1.5 (-150) | OFF | Under 1.5 (-120) | Under 1.5 (-132) | Under 1.5 (-130) |
Game info: Reds vs. Rockies | Moneyline: Reds (-125 via Betway) | Total: Over 10.5 (-110)/Under 10.5 (-110) via Betway | Start time: 8:40 p.m. ET
Two total bases Unders at Coors? In this economy?
Well, our best sportsbooks know this game is at Coors Field, too, and they've priced all the Overs appropriately. Therefore, we're using the data to find edges in any odds, and we've found another one with Colorado Rockies outfielder Brenton Doyle's Under 1.5 total bases.
Much like Steer, Doyle is ice-cold at the dish. He owns a .674 OPS during the last month and is hitting just .176 over the last seven days. His batted-ball data leaves much to be desired, too, as his .239 xBA is much lower than his .260 average, and his 27.2% strikeout rate is in the 17th percentile in the league.
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As mentioned, Doyle's projections for Monday point to significant value on his total bases Under, especially at these -120 odds. We're getting roughly 15.5% +EV when we run his projections against this price, which is 10 points better than any other offered at our sites with the best sportsbook promos.
Pinnacle opened with Doyle's Under priced at -128, but it's since been smashed to -152. That tells us sharp action is on our side, further providing us with confidence that we're making a good bet.
Best odds: -120 via BetMGM
MLB player props made Monday at 8:30 a.m. ET.
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- BetRivers Promo Code: SBRBONUS | Read our BetRivers Review
- FanDuel Promo Code | Read our FanDuel Review
- DraftKings Promo Code | Read our DraftKings Review
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