All 30 teams are on the schedule this Saturday across the MLB, starting off in Toronto at 3:07 PM ET and wrapping up in Los Angeles at 10:10 PM ET with a matchup between the Dodgers and Rockies. For Saturday's Mega Parlay, I'm siding with a pair of underdogs to win outright along with a favorite to cover the run line.
Below I'll provide an in-depth analysis of each game and the value that lies within each pick.' For more action, be sure to check out our MLB predictions page which takes a look at some of the games not covered in this article. With that said, let's take a look at Saturday's MLB mega parlay which pays out at +1055 odds on Fanduel Sportsbook.'
Arizona Diamondbacks ML over New York Mets (+114)
The New York Mets may have taken the first 2 games of their 4-game series with the Arizona Diamondbacks, but the month of May has not been too kind to them. The Mets finished May with a 9-19 record, which is only slightly worse than the D-backs month of May at 11-15, but I like this afternoon's matchup for Arizona. The D-backs have a 114 wRC+ against left-handed pitching this season and they'll be going up against lefty Sean Manaea, who has done a decent job to this point. Across his first 10 starts, Manaea owns a 3.16 ERA, but an xERA of 4.20 with a career-worst walk rate and a ground-ball rate that ranks in the 11th percentile. Another argument against the Mets in this game is their depleted bullpen, which owns a 6.59 ERA over the past 2 weeks and just gave up 4 earned runs last night.
Meanwhile for the D-backs, right-hander Slade Cecconi will take the ball for his first start since he was optioned to Triple-A Reno on May 22. Cecconi started his season with back-to-back quality outings, but he has given up 6 earned runs in 3 of his last 4 starts. Luckily for Cecconi, his 3.43 xERA as compared to his 6.12 ERA would suggest some positive regression in the near future. I view this starting pitching matchup as relatively even, but the D-backs have advantages in both their lineup and bullpen today, and that is enough for me to back them as underdogs. Look for Arizona to bounce back this afternoon.