The Minnesota Twins (-105) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-115) on Friday, May 31, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Houston, TX.

This season, the Twins are 31-25 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 23-34 ATS.

Twins vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:

• Twins starting pitcher: Pablo Lopez 4-5, 5.28 ERA
• Astros starting pitcher: Ronel Blanco 5-0, 2.00 ERA

Twins vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Twins vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Friday‘s MLB game with 52.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:

• Carlos Santana has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 14 away games (+25.70 Units / 184% ROI)
• Max Kepler has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+17.25 Units / 34% ROI)
• Alex Kirilloff has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+11.60 Units / 35% ROI)
• Christian Vazquez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 24 games (+10.60 Units / 32% ROI)
• Alex Kirilloff has hit the Singles Under in 24 of his last 35 games (+10.55 Units / 24% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Yordan Alvarez has hit the RBIs Under in 34 of his last 42 games (+21.90 Units / 32% ROI)
• Kyle Tucker has hit the Home Runs Over in 11 of his last 30 games (+20.15 Units / 67% ROI)
• Yordan Alvarez has hit the Runs Under in 28 of his last 39 games (+16.40 Units / 35% ROI)
• Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Under in 22 of his last 39 games (+15.45 Units / 31% ROI)
• Yordan Alvarez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 29 of his last 44 games (+13.30 Units / 26% ROI)

Twins Best Bets Today:

• The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 36 games (+8.30 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 28 games (+6.64 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games (+5.45 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 23 of their last 39 games (+4.15 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 away games (+1.15 Units / 9% ROI)

Astros Best Bets Today:

• The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games (+10.70 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 34 of their last 57 games (+9.80 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 18 games (+4.65 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 21 of their last 36 games (+4.65 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.95 Units / 31% ROI)

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Twins are 26-30 against the Run Line (-5.75 Units / -7.97% ROI).

• 31-25 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.65 Units / -0.86% ROI
• 25-27 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.75 Units / -7.83% ROI
• 27-25 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.6 Units / -0.99% ROI

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Astros are 23-34 against the Run Line (-11.75 Units / -17.14% ROI).

• 25-32 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.35 Units / -21.37% ROI
• 21-33 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.9 Units / -23.94% ROI
• 33-21 when betting on the total runs Under for +9.85 Units / 15.57% ROI

Astros vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today

Astros vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Astros vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today

Astros vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Pablo Lopez has not walked any of the 99 batters that he has faced when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.

Opposing hitters have a chase rate of 36% (99/275) against Pablo Lopez when he’s behind in the count since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 86 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 99th Percentile.

Pablo Lopez’s K:BB ratio is 9.0 (36/4) vs left-handed batters this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 2.9 — 96th Percentile.

Pablo Lopez has not walked any of the 45 batters that he has faced when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (5 games) — tied for best among among AL Starters; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.

Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a miss rate of 44% (29/66) against Ronel Blanco on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 12% (9/72) against Ronel Blanco this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .118 (4-for-34) against Ronel Blanco when he’s behind in the count this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .308 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .174 (33-for-190) against Ronel Blanco this season — tied for 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .232 — 97th Percentile.

Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

  
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