The San Diego Padres (-125) visit Ewing M. Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (+105) on Friday, May 31, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Kansas City, MO.
This season, the Padres are 30-29 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 38-20 ATS.
Padres vs Royals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Padres starting pitcher: Dylan Cease 5-4, 3.29 ERA
- Royals starting pitcher: Michael Wacha 4-5, 4.31 ERA
Padres vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Padres vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Friday‘s MLB game with 55.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 43 games (+18.00 Units / 42% ROI)
- Jurickson Profar has hit the Hits Over in 37 of his last 50 games (+17.35 Units / 18% ROI)
- Jurickson Profar has hit the Singles Over in 32 of his last 48 games (+14.80 Units / 27% ROI)
- Manny Machado has hit the Runs Under in 27 of his last 35 games (+14.75 Units / 27% ROI)
- Manny Machado has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 23 of his last 34 games (+10.95 Units / 28% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Under in 24 of his last 35 games (+20.10 Units / 57% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Runs Under in 29 of his last 35 games (+18.65 Units / 31% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 27 of his last 35 games (+18.15 Units / 41% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Singles Under in 35 of his last 45 games (+17.80 Units / 22% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Total Bases Under in 25 of his last 35 games (+14.70 Units / 34% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 27 away games (+15.35 Units / 44% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 27 away games (+8.20 Units / 27% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.20 Units / 60% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.90 Units / 51% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 37 of their last 54 games (+18.39 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 27 games at home (+14.85 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 27 games at home (+10.15 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 15 games at home (+8.50 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.70 Units / 49% ROI)
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Padres are 30-29 against the Run Line (+3.1 Units / 4.29% ROI).
- 30-29 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.45 Units / -7.15% ROI
- 30-28 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.5 Units / -0.78% ROI
- 28-30 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.3 Units / -8.08% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 38-20 against the Run Line (+14.79 Units / 18.14% ROI).
- 35-23 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.2 Units / 19.28% ROI
- 24-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.05 Units / -16.07% ROI
- 31-24 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.4 Units / 6.99% ROI
Royals vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -650 |
Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
Royals vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Luis Campusano (SD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
Jake Cronenworth (SD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
Jackson Merrill (SD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
Jurickson Profar (SD) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Royals vs Padres RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
Jake Cronenworth (SD) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
Royals vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Dylan Cease (SD) | 5.5 -155 | 5.5 +120 |
Michael Wacha (KC) | 3.5 -120 | 3.5 -110 |
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Dylan Cease has allowed an OBP of just .247 (259 PAs) this season — eighth best among qualified SPs– 91st Percentile. He allowed an OBP of .332 (783 PAs) last season — third worst among qualified SPs– sixth Percentile.
10 of Dylan Cease’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor this season — 2nd most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 31% (20/64) against Dylan Cease in two-strike counts this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — fifth Percentile.
Dylan Cease has struck out 35% (47/136) of right-handed batters he faced this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 98th Percentile.
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Michael Wacha has allowed an OPS of just .453 (99 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .668 — 95th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .165 (15-for-91) against Michael Wacha when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .228 — 93rd Percentile.
Michael Wacha has thrown his changeup 50% of the time (143/284) with two-strikes this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 20% — 100th Percentile.
Michael Wacha has thrown his changeup 50% of the time (143/284) with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 19% — 100th Percentile.