The Detroit Tigers (+135) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-160) on Friday, May 31, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Boston, MA.

This season, the Tigers are 28-28 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 25-32 ATS.

Tigers vs Red Sox Starting Pitchers Today:

• Tigers starting pitcher: Kenta Maeda 2-1, 5.92 ERA
• Red Sox starting pitcher: Tanner Houck 4-5, 1.90 ERA

Tigers vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Tigers vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Friday‘s MLB game with 57.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:

• Matt Vierling has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+22.50 Units / 562% ROI)
• Spencer Torkelson has hit the Runs Under in 28 of his last 39 games (+10.25 Units / 16% ROI)
• Spencer Torkelson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 21 of his last 30 games (+9.95 Units / 26% ROI)
• Spencer Torkelson has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+9.50 Units / 104% ROI)
• Spencer Torkelson has hit the Singles Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.45 Units / 44% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Jarren Duran has hit the Singles Under in 31 of his last 45 games (+18.25 Units / 38% ROI)
• Dominic Smith has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 21 games (+15.40 Units / 36% ROI)
• Jarren Duran has hit the Hits Under in 31 of his last 44 games (+12.10 Units / 15% ROI)
• Rafael Devers has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 15 games (+12.05 Units / 80% ROI)
• Jarren Duran has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 26 of his last 44 games (+7.75 Units / 15% ROI)

Tigers Best Bets Today:

• The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 39 games (+9.60 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 24 away games (+5.45 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 24 away games (+4.80 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.15 Units / 58% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.15 Units / 55% ROI)

Red Sox Best Bets Today:

• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 24 games at home (+12.70 Units / 48% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 12 games at home (+8.00 Units / 58% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games (+5.10 Units / 62% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 28 of their last 57 games (+3.75 Units / 5% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+1.00 Units / 8% ROI)

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 26-30 against the Run Line (-6.45 Units / -8.39% ROI).

• 28-28 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.3 Units / -3.57% ROI
• 29-21 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.7 Units / 9.82% ROI
• 21-29 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.25 Units / -19.18% ROI

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 25-32 against the Run Line (-12.15 Units / -15.66% ROI).

• 28-29 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.95 Units / -4.38% ROI
• 21-32 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.7 Units / -21.92% ROI
• 32-21 when betting on the total runs Under for +9.1 Units / 14.44% ROI

Red Sox vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Red Sox vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Red Sox vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today

Red Sox vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 24% (35/146) against Kenta Maeda’s curve and slider since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 86 total IP; League Avg: 42% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 14% (6/42) against Kenta Maeda this month (3 games) — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 21% (9/43) against Kenta Maeda’s curve and slider this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 21 total IP; League Avg: 42% — first Percentile.

Kenta Maeda has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 51% (56/110) of opposing batters this season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 21 total IP; League Avg: 65% — second Percentile.

Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 62% (73/117) against Tanner Houck this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — 98th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 57% (112/196) against Tanner Houck this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 97th Percentile.

Tanner Houck has allowed a slugging percentage of just .204 (19 Total Bases / 93 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .378 — 97th Percentile.

Tanner Houck has allowed an OPS of just .437 (99 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .668 — 96th Percentile.

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox

  
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