The Arizona Diamondbacks (-105) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-115) on Friday, May 31, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Flushing, NY.

This season, the Diamondbacks are 25-31 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 24-32 ATS.

Diamondbacks vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:

• Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Jordan Montgomery 3-2, 4.77 ERA
• Mets starting pitcher: Luis Severino 2-2, 3.21 ERA

Diamondbacks vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Diamondbacks vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Friday‘s MLB game with 54.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:

• Jake McCarthy has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 away games (+20.00 Units / 400% ROI)
• Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Under in 27 of his last 31 games (+19.35 Units / 34% ROI)
• Corbin Carroll has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 27 of his last 37 games (+17.65 Units / 42% ROI)
• Christian Walker has hit the Total Bases Under in 30 of his last 43 games (+14.40 Units / 23% ROI)
• Corbin Carroll has hit the Hits Under in 23 of his last 40 games (+12.75 Units / 23% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Tomas Nido has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 20 games (+15.00 Units / 75% ROI)
• Pete Alonso has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 22 games at home (+14.30 Units / 65% ROI)
• Pete Alonso has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 28 games (+13.00 Units / 31% ROI)
• Pete Alonso has hit the Singles Under in 22 of his last 30 games (+9.80 Units / 22% ROI)
• Brandon Nimmo has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 9 games (+9.65 Units / 72% ROI)

Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:

• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 47 games (+11.30 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 45 games (+9.60 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 20 of their last 31 games (+8.65 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 28 away games (+4.90 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 13 away games (+3.15 Units / 23% ROI)

Mets Best Bets Today:

• The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games at home (+6.65 Units / 36% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.90 Units / 51% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 8 games (+1.40 Units / 14% ROI)

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 23-33 against the Run Line (-14.3 Units / -19.81% ROI).

• 25-31 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.75 Units / -12.54% ROI
• 23-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.35 Units / -18.25% ROI
• 31-23 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.05 Units / 9.91% ROI

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 24-32 against the Run Line (-11.55 Units / -15.74% ROI).

• 23-33 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.6 Units / -18.79% ROI
• 27-26 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.65 Units / -2.75% ROI
• 26-27 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.15 Units / -5.36% ROI

Mets vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today

Mets vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Mets vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today

Mets vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Jordan Montgomery has allowed an OPS of .925 (49 PA’s) with two-strikes this month (5 games) — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: .476 — second Percentile.

Jordan Montgomery has allowed a slugging percentage of .558 (24 Total Bases / 43 ABs) with two-strikes this month (5 games) — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: .250 — second Percentile.

Jordan Montgomery has allowed an OBP of .367 (49 PA’s) with two-strikes this month (5 games) — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: .227 — second Percentile.

Jordan Montgomery has walked 31 of 639 batters (5%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 91st Percentile.

Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Luis Severino allowed a batting average of just .037 vs right-handed batters (best)– 100th Percentile and .333 vs left-handed batters over the last two weeks (tied for fourth worst among qualified SPs)– eighth Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 16% (26/165) against Luis Severino this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 98th Percentile.

Luis Severino has allowed a just .074 SLG vs right-handed batters (third best)– 97th Percentile and .524 vs left-handed batters over the last two weeks (ninth worst among qualified SPs)– 14th Percentile.

  
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