The Kansas City Royals (+110) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-135) on Wednesday, May 29, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Minneapolis, MN.
This season, the Royals are 34-22 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 26-28 ATS.
Royals vs Twins Starting Pitchers Today:
- Royals starting pitcher: Seth Lugo 8-1, 1.73 ERA
- Twins starting pitcher: Bailey Ober 5-2, 4.33 ERA
Royals vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Royals vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:
- MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Under in 23 of his last 33 games (+20.00 Units / 60% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Runs Under in 28 of his last 33 games (+19.25 Units / 34% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 26 of his last 33 games (+18.45 Units / 44% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Singles Under in 33 of his last 43 games (+15.80 Units / 20% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 19 away games (+14.70 Units / 69% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Max Kepler has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 24 games (+16.25 Units / 33% ROI)
- Alex Kirilloff has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 24 games (+12.60 Units / 39% ROI)
- Alex Kirilloff has hit the Singles Under in 24 of his last 34 games (+11.90 Units / 28% ROI)
- Jose Miranda has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games (+11.30 Units / 126% ROI)
- Christian Vazquez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 23 games (+9.60 Units / 30% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 35 of their last 52 games (+16.39 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 33 games (+8.30 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.75 Units / 48% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 34 games (+8.60 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 26 games (+6.84 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games (+5.65 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 37 games (+4.40 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 32 games (+2.85 Units / 7% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 36-20 against the Run Line (+12.79 Units / 16.39% ROI).
- 34-22 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.1 Units / 19.71% ROI
- 23-30 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.95 Units / -16.46% ROI
- 30-23 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.6 Units / 7.58% ROI
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 26-28 against the Run Line (-3.75 Units / -5.35% ROI).
- 30-24 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.35 Units / -0.48% ROI
- 24-26 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.65 Units / -7.94% ROI
- 26-24 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.4 Units / -0.69% ROI
Twins vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -400 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Nelson Velazquez (KC) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Hunter Renfroe (KC) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
Twins vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Carlos Correa (MIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Max Kepler (MIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Ryan Jeffers (MIN) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Freddy Fermin (KC) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
Twins vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Ryan Jeffers (MIN) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Nelson Velazquez (KC) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Twins vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Seth Lugo (KC) | 5.5 -120 | 5.5 -110 |
| Bailey Ober (MIN) | 5.5 +100 | 5.5 -130 |
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
6 of Seth Lugo’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor this season — tied for 5th most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 94th Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting just .198 (25-for-126) against Seth Lugo this season — tied for 9th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .235 — 86th Percentile.
Seth Lugo has allowed an OBP of just .156 (45 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (5 games) — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .284 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 25% (6/24) against Seth Lugo on low fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 51% — 100th Percentile.
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 27% (15/56) against Bailey Ober in two-strike counts this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 20 total IP; League Avg: 45% — second Percentile.
Bailey Ober has allowed an OPS of just .521 (175 PA’s) when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the 2022 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 150 total IP; League Avg: .754 — 100th Percentile.
Bailey Ober has thrown fastballs up 76% of the time (1,378/1,813) since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 150 total IP; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
Bailey Ober has allowed an OBP of just .234 (175 PA’s) when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 150 total IP; League Avg: .321 — 99th Percentile.