The Boston Red Sox (+155) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-190) on Wednesday, May 29, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:35pm EDT in Baltimore, MD.

This season, the Red Sox are 28-27 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 28-25 ATS.

Red Sox vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:

• Red Sox starting pitcher: Kutter Crawford 2-3, 2.89 ERA
• Orioles starting pitcher: Corbin Burnes 4-2, 2.62 ERA

Red Sox vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Red Sox vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 59.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:

• Jarren Duran has hit the Singles Under in 29 of his last 43 games (+16.25 Units / 36% ROI)
• Rafael Devers has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 16 away games (+14.85 Units / 93% ROI)
• Dominic Smith has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 20 games (+14.40 Units / 36% ROI)
• Rafael Devers has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 31 games (+13.05 Units / 21% ROI)
• Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 10 of his last 14 away games (+7.20 Units / 43% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Gunnar Henderson has hit the Home Runs Over in 9 of his last 20 games at home (+26.80 Units / 134% ROI)
• Jorge Mateo has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 24 games (+17.20 Units / 72% ROI)
• Ryan O’Hearn has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 17 games at home (+15.75 Units / 42% ROI)
• Gunnar Henderson has hit the RBIs Over in 14 of his last 24 games at home (+14.80 Units / 62% ROI)
• Ryan O’Hearn has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 17 games at home (+12.60 Units / 62% ROI)

Red Sox Best Bets Today:

• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 42 games (+10.80 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 26 away games (+7.80 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 29 away games (+7.25 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 26 away games (+6.50 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 18 of their last 29 away games (+6.30 Units / 18% ROI)

Orioles Best Bets Today:

• The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 25 of their last 38 games (+10.70 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 20 games at home (+7.55 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 22 games at home (+7.20 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 44 games (+7.10 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+4.00 Units / 71% ROI)

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 25-30 against the Run Line (-9.75 Units / -12.97% ROI).

• 28-27 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.75 Units / -1.15% ROI
• 21-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.45 Units / -20.7% ROI
• 31-21 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.05 Units / 13.22% ROI

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 28-25 against the Run Line (+6.95 Units / 11.27% ROI).

• 34-19 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.35 Units / 8.21% ROI
• 27-19 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.35 Units / 11.12% ROI
• 19-27 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.8 Units / -18.83% ROI

Orioles vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today

Orioles vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Orioles vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today

Orioles vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 26% (17/66) against Kutter Crawford in two-strike counts this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 35% (62/178) against Kutter Crawford this season — tied for 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — fifth Percentile.

Kutter Crawford has allowed a slugging percentage of just .125 (4 Total Bases / 32 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .340 — 96th Percentile.

Kutter Crawford has allowed a slugging percentage of just .285 (69 Total Bases / 242 ABs) on fastballs since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 85 total IP; League Avg: .449 — 100th Percentile.

Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Corbin Burnes has located his fastball inside 70% of the time (40/57) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.

Corbin Burnes has located his fastball inside 66% of the time (364/555) since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.

Corbin Burnes has located his fastballs down 65% of the time (208/319) since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 64% (50/78) against Corbin Burnes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — 100th Percentile.

Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

  
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