It’s a busy day in baseball with plenty of action happening all around the country. A plethora of games means there were a lot of player prop options, and I found my two favorite picks for today’s slate. I’m 5-1 on my player props this season, so let’s keep the streak going today!
Grayson Rodriguez (BAL) to record the win (+145)
The Orioles are flying high right now as they've won 5 games in a row. Baltimore took the series opener against the Red Sox yesterday by a wide margin, and tonight should be a similar case. Grayson Rodriguez will take the hill for the O's, and he's been fantastic since returning from an injury. After a brief three week rest, Rodriguez has allowed just 2 runs, 4 hits, with 14 strikeouts in 11 innings against the Mariners and White Sox. The young right-hander has limited hitters to a .111 batting average and .119 xBA in those 2 starts.
In order to record the win, Rodriguez needs to pitch at least 5 innings and leave the game with the Orioles in the lead. It's then up to the bullpen to maintain that lead which isn't too worrisome for me since the Baltimore pen hasn't been put into too many high-leverage situations recently. To get the lead, the O's will need to get a few runs against Brayan Bello. The Red Sox star missed several weeks with an injury and hasn't been the same since returning. The righty has allowed 10 runs, 15 hits, 4 home runs, and 6 walks in 15.2 innings since coming back. With a red-hot Baltimore lineup and Rodriguez on the bump, this price seems too good to be true.