Phillies vs Giants Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 28
Phillies vs Giants Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 28

The Philadelphia Phillies (-210) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (+170) on Tuesday, May 28, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:45pm EDT in San Francisco, CA.

This season, the Phillies are 38-17 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 28-27 ATS.

Phillies vs Giants Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Phillies starting pitcher: Zack Wheeler 6-3, 2.53 ERA
  • Giants starting pitcher: Undecided 0-0, 0.00 ERA

Phillies vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Phillies vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 53.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Alec Bohm has hit the RBIs Over in 25 of his last 46 games (+15.70 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Nick Castellanos has hit the Hits Under in 26 of his last 50 games (+14.00 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Nick Castellanos has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 15 away games (+12.70 Units / 85% ROI)
  • Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 25 of his last 36 games (+11.45 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Alec Bohm has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 36 games (+10.75 Units / 29% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Thairo Estrada has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 26 games (+20.60 Units / 79% ROI)
  • Thairo Estrada has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 21 games (+13.05 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Mike Yastrzemski has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 15 games at home (+11.05 Units / 74% ROI)
  • Matt Chapman has hit the RBIs Under in 26 of his last 34 games (+10.45 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Matt Chapman has hit the Total Bases Under in 31 of his last 47 games (+10.30 Units / 16% ROI)

  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Over in 32 of their last 38 games (+25.25 Units / 55% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 38 games (+16.20 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 39 games (+16.20 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 40 games (+15.35 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 36 games (+13.00 Units / 29% ROI)

  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 21 games at home (+10.90 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 11 games at home (+9.10 Units / 68% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 15 games (+8.65 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 21 games at home (+8.30 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 11 games (+8.25 Units / 58% ROI)

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 31-24 against the Run Line (+7.55 Units / 11.17% ROI).

  • 38-17 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.75 Units / 13.87% ROI
  • 27-25 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.45 Units / -0.75% ROI
  • 25-27 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.95 Units / -8.15% ROI

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Giants are 28-27 against the Run Line (+0.45 Units / 0.63% ROI).

  • 28-27 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.95 Units / -4.3% ROI
  • 29-24 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.9 Units / 4.83% ROI
  • 24-29 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.05 Units / -13.22% ROI

Giants vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jorge Soler (SF) 0.5 +575 0.5 -900
Matt Chapman (SF) 0.5 +625 0.5 -1000
Mike Yastrzemski (SF) 0.5 +650 0.5 -1000
Heliot Ramos (SF) 0.5 +950 0.5 -2000
Patrick Bailey (SF) 0.5 +1000 0.5 -2000

Giants vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Luis Matos (SF) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Thairo Estrada (SF) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Patrick Bailey (SF) 0.5 -175 0.5 +135
Wilmer Flores (SF) 0.5 -165 0.5 +125
Matt Chapman (SF) 0.5 -160 0.5 +125

Giants vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Patrick Bailey (SF) 0.5 +230 0.5 -350
Matt Chapman (SF) 0.5 +230 0.5 -350
Jorge Soler (SF) 0.5 +230 0.5 -350
Wilmer Flores (SF) 0.5 +240 0.5 -350
Mike Yastrzemski (SF) 0.5 +275 0.5 -400

Giants vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Zack Wheeler (PHI) 7.5 +105 7.5 -135

Right-handed batters are hitting just .125 (15-for-120) against Zack Wheeler this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .230 — 100th Percentile.

Zack Wheeler has allowed an OBP of just .178 (129 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .287 — 100th Percentile.

Zack Wheeler has thrown inside pitches 42% of the time (448/1,062) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.

Zack Wheeler has allowed an OPS of just .362 (130 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .655 — 100th Percentile.

Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 7% (4/54) against Erik Miller this season — lowest among NL Relievers; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 7% (4/54) against Erik Miller this season — lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Erik Miller has struck out 42% (16/38) of left-handed batters he faced this season — tied for 3rd best among NL Relievers; League Avg: 24% — 98th Percentile.

Erik Miller has thrown his changeup 37% of the time (37/100) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among NL Relievers; League Avg: 10% — 100th Percentile.

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Giants

  
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