The Houston Astros (+115) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-135) on Tuesday, May 28, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Seattle, WA.
This season, the Astros are 24-30 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 27-28 ATS.
Astros vs Mariners Starting Pitchers Today:
- Astros starting pitcher: Hunter Brown 1-5, 7.12 ERA
- Mariners starting pitcher: Luis Castillo 4-6, 3.29 ERA
Astros vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Astros vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 51.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:
- Kyle Tucker has hit the Home Runs Over in 11 of his last 27 games (+23.15 Units / 86% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the RBIs Under in 31 of his last 39 games (+18.90 Units / 30% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Under in 22 of his last 36 games (+18.45 Units / 40% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the Runs Under in 26 of his last 36 games (+15.90 Units / 38% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 28 of his last 41 games (+14.40 Units / 30% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ty France has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 13 games (+17.40 Units / 134% ROI)
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 23 games (+14.20 Units / 44% ROI)
- Josh Rojas has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 18 games (+11.50 Units / 37% ROI)
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 22 games (+10.20 Units / 38% ROI)
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 17 games (+9.00 Units / 29% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 25 away games (+9.30 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 37 games (+7.70 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 20 of their last 33 games (+5.90 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 18 games (+2.45 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 18 games (+1.90 Units / 9% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 16 games at home (+11.55 Units / 63% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 16 games at home (+9.55 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 25 games at home (+9.00 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 16 games at home (+8.85 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 16 games at home (+6.35 Units / 28% ROI)
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 22-32 against the Run Line (-9.75 Units / -15.31% ROI).
- 24-30 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.4 Units / -21% ROI
- 21-30 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.6 Units / -19.68% ROI
- 30-21 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.85 Units / 11.44% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 27-28 against the Run Line (-5.45 Units / -7.28% ROI).
- 29-26 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.15 Units / -3.16% ROI
- 20-32 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.8 Units / -25.17% ROI
- 32-20 when betting on the total runs Under for +9.5 Units / 15.79% ROI
Mariners vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -350 |
Kyle Tucker (HOU) | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
Dominic Canzone (SEA) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Mariners vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Jose Altuve (HOU) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Jeremy Pena (HOU) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Mariners vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
Kyle Tucker (HOU) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Luke Raley (SEA) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Alex Bregman (HOU) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Mariners vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Luis Castillo (Sea) | 5.5 -145 | 5.5 +110 |
Hunter Brown (HOU) | 5.5 -125 | 5.5 -105 |
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .469 (38-for-81) against Hunter Brown in non-two strike counts this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 20 total IP; League Avg: .318 — 0 Percentile.
The last hit on a Hunter Brown changeup was June 25th, 2023. Hitters are 0 for their last 20 in ABs ending on his changeup. — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 61% (95/155) against Hunter Brown on sliders since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 150 total IP; League Avg: 41% — 100th Percentile.
Hunter Brown has allowed a slugging percentage of .737 (246 Total Bases / 334 ABs) in non-two strike counts since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 85 total IP; League Avg: .577 — first Percentile.
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 33% (93/285) against Luis Castillo this season — 8th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 90th Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of 46% (38/83) against Luis Castillo in late innings since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 85 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.
Luis Castillo has a strikeout rate of 38% (28 SO in 73 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — 8th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 89th Percentile.
Luis Castillo has allowed a slugging percentage of .600 (18 Total Bases / 30 ABs) on low fastballs this season — 9th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .382 — 13th Percentile.