The Chicago Cubs (+135) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-160) on Tuesday, May 28, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Milwaukee, WI.

This season, the Cubs are 27-27 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 29-24 ATS.

Cubs vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:

• Cubs starting pitcher: Ben Brown 1-1, 3.21 ERA
• Brewers starting pitcher: Freddy Peralta 3-3, 3.86 ERA

Cubs vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Cubs vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 57.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Cubs vs Brewers and all games with BetMGM

$1500 First Bet Offer

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:

• Michael Busch has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 18 away games (+16.20 Units / 90% ROI)
• Christopher Morel has hit the Hits Under in 23 of his last 42 games (+14.35 Units / 34% ROI)
• Christopher Morel has hit the Total Bases Under in 27 of his last 42 games (+12.25 Units / 23% ROI)
• Michael Busch has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 18 away games (+11.10 Units / 62% ROI)
• Christopher Morel has hit the RBIs Over in 13 of his last 23 games (+9.90 Units / 43% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Sal Frelick has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games at home (+24.00 Units / 600% ROI)
• William Contreras has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 34 of his last 48 games (+17.00 Units / 28% ROI)
• William Contreras has hit the RBIs Over in 23 of his last 48 games (+13.95 Units / 29% ROI)
• William Contreras has hit the Hits Over in 32 of his last 49 games (+12.00 Units / 13% ROI)
• William Contreras has hit the Total Bases Over in 27 of his last 47 games (+10.90 Units / 22% ROI)

Cubs Best Bets Today:

• The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 20 of their last 28 games (+11.45 Units / 36% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 42 games (+11.45 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 28 games (+9.00 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 26 away games (+5.15 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 21 away games (+3.65 Units / 12% ROI)

Brewers Best Bets Today:

• The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 34 of their last 53 games (+11.85 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 53 games (+9.00 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 33 of their last 53 games (+8.29 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 27 of their last 53 games (+7.30 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 25 games (+6.95 Units / 20% ROI)

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 28-26 against the Run Line (-4.15 Units / -5.42% ROI).

• 27-27 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.8 Units / 1.24% ROI
• 22-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.25 Units / -20.59% ROI
• 31-22 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.75 Units / 11.37% ROI

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 29-24 against the Run Line (+1.7 Units / 2.3% ROI).

• 31-22 when betting on the Moneyline for +9 Units / 14.56% ROI
• 29-23 when betting on the total runs Over for +4 Units / 6.86% ROI
• 23-29 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.7 Units / -14.92% ROI

Brewers vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today

Brewers vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Brewers vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today

Brewers vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Ben Brown has thrown his curveball 45% of the time (137/307) against right-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 20 total CB; League Avg: 13% — 100th Percentile.

Ben Brown has thrown his curveball 51% of the time (79/154) with runners in scoring position this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 20 total CB; League Avg: 14% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .098 (8-for-82) against Ben Brown with two-strikes this season — 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 20 total IP; League Avg: .168 — 95th Percentile.

33 of Ben Brown’s 45 strikeouts (73%) have come on curveballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 20 total IP; League Avg: 12% — 100th Percentile.

Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Freddy Peralta has a strikeout rate of 33% (118 SO in 359 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Freddy Peralta has struck out 34% (40/116) of left-handed batters he faced this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Freddy Peralta has a strikeout rate of 60% (71 SO in 119 PAs) with two-strikes this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.

Freddy Peralta has a strikeout rate of 32% (29 SO in 90 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 94th Percentile.

Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

  
Read Full Article