The Dallas Mavericks have pushed the Minnesota Timberwolves to the brink of elimination in the Western Conference Finals, and we're offering our top Timberwolves vs. Mavericks player props based on the best NBA odds for Tuesday's Game 4.
The mighty Minnesota Timberwolves' defense once again couldn't contain the Dallas Mavericks' explosive backcourt in Game 3 of the Western Conference Finals. Dallas holds a 3-0 series lead and home-court advantage ahead of Game 4 on Tuesday at 8:30 p.m. ET (TNT) from American Airlines Center.
The Mavericks go into Game 4 as a 2-point favorite while holding the second-shortest NBA championship odds. Coming off his game-winning 3-pointer in Game 2, Luka Doncic carried the load for Dallas in Game 3 and is positioned to continue shortening his NBA Finals MVP odds with Minnesota on the brink.
In companion with our Luka Doncic odds and player props for Game 4, here are our best Timberwolves vs. Mavericks player props and NBA picks (odds via our best NBA betting sites; Pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Timberwolves vs. Mavericks Game 4 player props
- Luka Doncic Over 30.5 points (-110 via DraftKings) ???
- Anthony Edwards Over 12.5 rebounds + assists (-125 via FanDuel) ????
- Karl-Anthony Towns Under 30.5 points + rebounds + assists (-104 via FanDuel) ???
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Timberwolves vs. Mavericks prop bet predictions for Tuesday
Not only is Doncic coming out of the Western Conference finals as the new face of the NBA – Kenny Smith's words, not mine – the guard is also confirming he's the baddest man in the Association. After hitting the game-winning three in Game 2 over Rudy Gobert and shouting a few choice words, he reiterated his greatness in Game 3 with 33 points.
No matter what Minnesota's top-ranked defense does, there's no answer for Doncic. He's seemingly found his 3-point rhythm and also remains arguably the NBA's best isolation players, with his size and skill creating issues around the rim.
He's averaging 32.7 points while shooting 40.6% from three throughout the series. These odds imply a 52.38% probability Doncic scores Over 30.5 points for the fourth-straight game, according to our odds converter. A $10 bet on this prop pays out $19.09.
Best odds: -110 via DraftKings
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It's crazy to think Anthony Edwards put up 26 points, nine rebounds, nine assists, and one of the most thunderous dunks in recent memory, and Minnesota still suffered a nine-point loss. While Edwards continues to be shaky in terms of shooting, he's at least makaing a difference as a rebounder and playmaker.
Dallas' main objective defensively is to stop Edwards from exploding like we saw him do earlier in the playoffs. As a result, he's pivoted to setting up others while logging seven-plus assists in each game this series. He's also taken advantage of a Mavericks team that gave up the third-most rebounds to shooting guards during 2023-24 (6.91).
With Edwards averaging 16.3 rebounds and assists against Dallas, and 13 overall for the postseason, these odds imply a 55.56% win probability. A $10 wager on this prop pays an $8 profit.
Best odds: -125 via FanDu el
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Asking Edwards to defeat a team featuring one of the most offensively gifted backcourts in NBA history while his top wingman is shooting like he's enjoyed a few too many Bootlegs is a recipe for disaster. Given that Karl-Anthony Towns claims to put up 1,500 shots per day, you'd think he'd be hitting more in the Western Conference finals. Maybe his arms are tired?
KAT is only averaging 15 points per game against Minnesota, and he's producing the fifth-worst true shooting percentage in conference finals history (37.4%). Towns has yet to go Over 30.5 points, rebounds, and assists in the series against Dallas' underrated frontcourt.
Even with Dereck Lively's status unclear for Game 4, the Mavericks have been owning Towns all series. Towns is averaging just 28.2 PRA over his last eight games. These odds imply a 50.98% win probability with a $10 bet paying out $19.62.
Be st odds: -104 via FanDuel
Timberwolves vs. Mavericks Game 4 info & odds
- When: Tuesday, May 28
- Tip-off: 8:30 p.m. ET
- Where: American Airlines Center, Dallas, Texas
- How to watch: TNT
- Favorite: Mavericks -2 (-110 via bet365)
Timberwolves-Mavericks player props made Monday at 11:50 a.m. ET.
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