The Washington Nationals (+165) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-200) on Monday, May 27, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Atlanta, GA.

This season, the Nationals are 23-28 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 25-25 ATS.

Nationals vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:

• Nationals starting pitcher: Mitchell Parker 3-2, 3.38 ERA
• Braves starting pitcher: Charlie Morton 3-1, 3.47 ERA

Nationals vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Nationals vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Monday‘s MLB game with 64.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:

• Eddie Rosario has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 16 games (+27.90 Units / 174% ROI)
• Joey Meneses has hit the Runs Under in 26 of his last 33 games (+12.60 Units / 20% ROI)
• Jesse Winker has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+12.15 Units / 37% ROI)
• CJ Abrams has hit the Hits Over in 26 of his last 37 games (+11.55 Units / 16% ROI)
• Jesse Winker has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 26 games (+10.05 Units / 38% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Matt Olson has hit the Total Bases Under in 28 of his last 36 games (+17.55 Units / 34% ROI)
• Michael Harris II has hit the Runs Under in 33 of his last 46 games (+14.95 Units / 21% ROI)
• Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 games (+13.85 Units / 41% ROI)
• Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit the RBIs Under in 19 of his last 21 games at home (+13.65 Units / 32% ROI)
• Matt Olson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 24 of his last 36 games (+12.05 Units / 30% ROI)

Nationals Best Bets Today:

• The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 43 games (+12.45 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 43 games (+9.50 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 45 games (+8.20 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 19 of their last 43 games (+6.55 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.90 Units / 52% ROI)

Braves Best Bets Today:

• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 36 games (+20.15 Units / 50% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 37 games (+5.25 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 24 games at home (+2.50 Units / 5% ROI)

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 31-20 against the Run Line (+8.53 Units / 12.96% ROI).

• 23-28 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.25 Units / 12.05% ROI
• 21-27 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.55 Units / -15.34% ROI
• 27-21 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.68 Units / 6.52% ROI

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Braves are 25-25 against the Run Line (+1.65 Units / 2.93% ROI).

• 30-20 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.05 Units / -1.2% ROI
• 17-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.65 Units / -30.52% ROI
• 31-17 when betting on the total runs Under for +12.3 Units / 22.14% ROI

Braves vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Braves vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Braves vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today

Braves vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Mitchell Parker has thrown his curveball 30% of the time (40/133) when he’s behind in the count this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 20 total CB; League Avg: 9% — 96th Percentile.

Mitchell Parker has allowed a slugging percentage of .560 (28 Total Bases / 50 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 20 total IP; League Avg: .307 — 0 Percentile.

Mitchell Parker has allowed a slugging percentage of just .114 (5 Total Bases / 44 ABs) with two-strikes this month (4 games) — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .252 — 95th Percentile.

Mitchell Parker has allowed an OBP of just .149 (47 PA’s) with two-strikes this month (4 games) — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .228 — 95th Percentile.

Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Charlie Morton has walked 38 of 342 batters (11%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.

Charlie Morton has walked 65 of 626 batters (10%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — third Percentile.

Charlie Morton has allowed a slugging percentage of .731 (19 Total Bases / 26 ABs) on fastballs away this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .333 — second Percentile.

Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 40% of the time (327/824) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 16% — 100th Percentile.

Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

  
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