Cardinals vs Reds Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 27
Cardinals vs Reds Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 27

The St. Louis Cardinals (+115) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (-140) on Monday, May 27, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Cincinnati, OH.

This season, the Cardinals are 25-26 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 30-23 ATS.

Cardinals vs Reds Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Cardinals starting pitcher: Lance Lynn 2-2, 3.69 ERA
  • Reds starting pitcher: Nick Lodolo 3-2, 3.41 ERA

Cardinals vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Cardinals vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Reds will win Monday‘s MLB game with 53.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Alec Burleson has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 11 away games (+15.60 Units / 142% ROI)
  • Nolan Gorman has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+10.30 Units / 102% ROI)
  • Nolan Arenado has hit the RBIs Under in 14 of his last 17 away games (+8.10 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 12 away games (+7.15 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 22 away games (+6.50 Units / 28% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Stuart Fairchild has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games (+14.00 Units / 140% ROI)
  • Elly De La Cruz has hit the Hits Under in 21 of his last 39 games (+11.25 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Luke Maile has hit the Runs Under in his last 11 games (+11.00 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Will Benson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+10.30 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Stuart Fairchild has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+8.35 Units / 33% ROI)

  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 43 games (+7.25 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 23 of their last 37 games (+6.85 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 away games (+4.80 Units / 61% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.60 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 away games (+1.10 Units / 19% ROI)

  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 19 of their last 25 games at home (+12.30 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 13 games at home (+8.75 Units / 56% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 35 games (+8.35 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 37 games (+7.70 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games (+3.25 Units / 53% ROI)

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 25-26 against the Run Line (-2.95 Units / -4.42% ROI).

  • 25-26 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.15 Units / -8.39% ROI
  • 23-24 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.75 Units / -6.76% ROI
  • 24-23 when betting on the total runs Under for -1 Units / -1.83% ROI

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Reds are 30-23 against the Run Line (+4.5 Units / 6.33% ROI).

  • 23-30 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.9 Units / -11.23% ROI
  • 25-26 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.35 Units / -7.39% ROI
  • 26-25 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.65 Units / -2.85% ROI

Reds vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Mike Ford (CIN) 0.5 +290 0.5 -350
Spencer Steer (CIN) 0.5 +310 0.5 -400
Nolan Arenado (STL) 0.5 +333 0.5 -450
Tyler Stephenson (CIN) 0.5 +350 0.5 -450
Elly De La Cruz (CIN) 0.5 +350 0.5 -450

Reds vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Elly De La Cruz (CIN) 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Tyler Stephenson (CIN) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Spencer Steer (CIN) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Jeimer Candelario (CIN) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Nolan Arenado (STL) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165

Reds vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Spencer Steer (CIN) 0.5 +110 0.5 -145
Jeimer Candelario (CIN) 0.5 +125 0.5 -160
Tyler Stephenson (CIN) 0.5 +135 0.5 -175
Nolan Arenado (STL) 0.5 +135 0.5 -185
Elly De La Cruz (CIN) 0.5 +135 0.5 -175

Reds vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Lance Lynn (STL) 5.5 +115 5.5 -150

Lance Lynn has located his pitches away 59% of the time (125/212) when behind in the count this season — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.

Lance Lynn has allowed 50 home runs since last season — most among pitchers in MLB — 100th Percentile.

Lance Lynn has walked 9 of 45 batters (20%) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.

Lance Lynn has located his pitches away 59% of the time (125/212) when behind in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.

Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a swing rate of just 31% (200/643) against Nick Lodolo on inside fastballs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 149 total IP; League Avg: 49% — 0 Percentile.

Nick Lodolo has spotted his fastball inside for a strike just 54% (347/643) of the time since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 149 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 0 Percentile.

Hitters have chased just 43 of Nick Lodolo’s 300 fastballs in off the plate (14%) since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 149 total IP; League Avg: 30% — first Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 36% (82/227) against Nick Lodolo this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 20 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

  
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