The Chicago Cubs (+100) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-120) on Monday, May 27, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Milwaukee, WI.

This season, the Cubs are 27-26 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 28-24 ATS.

Cubs vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:

• Cubs starting pitcher: Justin Steele 0-2, 5.69 ERA
• Brewers starting pitcher: Robert Gasser 2-0, 2.65 ERA

Cubs vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Cubs vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Monday‘s MLB game with 52.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:

• Michael Busch has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 18 away games (+16.20 Units / 90% ROI)
• Christopher Morel has hit the Hits Under in 22 of his last 41 games (+12.60 Units / 31% ROI)
• Christopher Morel has hit the Total Bases Under in 26 of his last 41 games (+11.25 Units / 22% ROI)
• Michael Busch has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 18 away games (+11.10 Units / 62% ROI)
• Christopher Morel has hit the RBIs Over in 13 of his last 22 games (+10.90 Units / 50% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Sal Frelick has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games at home (+24.00 Units / 600% ROI)
• William Contreras has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 33 of his last 47 games (+16.00 Units / 26% ROI)
• William Contreras has hit the RBIs Over in 23 of his last 47 games (+14.95 Units / 32% ROI)
• William Contreras has hit the Total Bases Over in 27 of his last 46 games (+11.90 Units / 25% ROI)
• William Contreras has hit the Hits Over in 31 of his last 48 games (+11.00 Units / 12% ROI)

Cubs Best Bets Today:

• The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 41 games (+10.45 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 27 games (+7.95 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 25 away games (+6.15 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 20 away games (+4.65 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 51 games (+3.90 Units / 6% ROI)

Brewers Best Bets Today:

• The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 33 of their last 52 games (+10.85 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 52 games (+8.00 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games at home (+7.55 Units / 34% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 27 of their last 52 games (+7.30 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 24 games (+5.95 Units / 18% ROI)

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 28-25 against the Run Line (-3.15 Units / -4.17% ROI).

• 27-26 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.9 Units / 2.99% ROI
• 22-30 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.15 Units / -19.09% ROI
• 30-22 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.75 Units / 9.87% ROI

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 28-24 against the Run Line (+0.7 Units / 0.97% ROI).

• 30-22 when betting on the Moneyline for +8 Units / 13.18% ROI
• 29-22 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.1 Units / 8.92% ROI
• 22-29 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.7 Units / -16.96% ROI

Brewers vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today

Brewers vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Brewers vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today

Brewers vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Justin Steele has thrown fastballs 74% of the time (611/823) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 84 total IP; League Avg: 51% — 100th Percentile.

Justin Steele has thrown inside pitches 43% of the time (1,505/3,514) in non-two strike counts since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 149 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.

Justin Steele has thrown inside pitches 44% of the time (585/1,335) on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 149 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.

Justin Steele has thrown fastballs 72% of the time (2,516/3,514) in non-two strike counts since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 149 total IP; League Avg: 49% — 100th Percentile.

Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents batted .417 (10-for-24) against Robert Gasser — 2nd highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .225 — second Percentile.

Robert Gasser has allowed an OBP of .429 (28 PA’s) over the past seven days (1 games) — highest among NL Starters over the last week; League Avg: .276 — first Percentile.

Robert Gasser has not struck out any hitters in 29 PA’s over the past seven days (1 games) — lowest among NL Starters over the last week; League Avg: 22% — first Percentile.

Robert Gasser has a strikeout rate of just 9% (6 SO in 71 PAs) this month (3 games) — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 21% — 0 Percentile.

Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

  
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